Few pieces of legislation could have been more circuitous in the making than that introducing a carbon tax to Australia. The issue spelled the end of Kevin Rudd's prime ministership and his successor has now defied bitter opposition to usher the package through the House of Representatives. Various factors explain this laggardly action by a country that is said to be the biggest emitter per person in the world. An important one was, however, touched on this week by the world's most celebrated climate scientist, who said climate sceptics were winning the argument with the public over global warming.
James Hansen, of Nasa, widely known as the grandfather of global warming, told the Royal Society in London that "climate contrarians" had succeeded in lessening public concern about human-caused climate change. This had occurred even though the science underpinning global warming was becoming ever stronger. Extreme climate events were now occurring over 10 to 15 per cent of the planet annually, whereas between 1950 and 1980 they occurred over less than 1 per cent.
Dr Hansen attributed the science community's failing to two factors. First, the climate sceptic lobby had used communications professionals. This had left scientists, who were barely competent at delivering their message to the public, floundering. In turn, fossil-fuel companies, which wanted business to continue as usual, had seized on this. The near unanimity of the world's leading climate scientists on global warming had not been enough to offset this push.
Australia provides an excellent example of Dr Hansen's points. Four years ago, its business community acknowledged the need to act against climate change. That changed, however, when several developments provided it with the opportunity to put its own short-term earnings first. One of these was the global recession, which created a new set of urgent problems for governments and their citizens worldwide. Another was the failure of the Copenhagen summit to create an international framework for tackling climate change.
The scientific community has also managed to wound itself. The leaking of the so-called Climategate emails left it open to claims that leading climate scientists lacked honesty and integrity. Much damage was done even though various inquiries by British and American agencies, independent panels and universities found no wrongdoing, and concluded the science remained unassailed.