Are you going to bother voting this Saturday? If not, you're hardly alone. It's looking like fewer than three out of four eligible voters will actually make the trip to the polling booth. If that happens, this election risks having the lowest voter turnout for a century.
Historically, New Zealand has very high levels of voter participation - for much of the 20th century more than 90 per cent of eligible voters would turn out on election day. But this has declined considerably in recent elections. At the 2002 election, only 72.5 per cent of those eligible decided to cast a vote, and this year it's likely to fall to at least that level.
Already this year, voter enrolment numbers have been lower than usual. Despite enrolment being compulsory, only 93 per cent of eligible voters have done so, down from 95 per cent in 2008. For those in the 18-24 age group, only 76 per cent have enrolled.
Why are so few likely to participate? This election campaign has been the most heavily stage-managed in living memory. Politicians and parties have been incredibly cautious, sticking to photo opportunities, publicity stunts and allowing little meaningful debate to occur. Today's designer politics, with its market research, spin-doctors and sound-bites, makes the parties all appear the same. Voters are entirely divorced from these highly professionalised parties and so it is no surprise that party membership is now only one-tenth of what it used to be.
The electoral deals in places such as Epsom also drive voting numbers down - because of their overtones of manipulation. Similarly, the teapot tape will have put voters off. The ongoing saga has epitomised what many voters dislike about politics - it is scrappy, insubstantial, trivial and unnecessarily conflictual.