SOMEWHERE, possibly on the periphery of your awareness, you will recently have heard or seen reference to the Salvation Army's Mixed Fortunes report. I won't summarise the report for you here, but suffice to say that at the core of the report are various statistics that reflect things you already know - that provincial New Zealand is suffering from poverty, unemployment and the myriad poor social outcomes that flow on from that. In general, Gisborne and Northland perform worst on the various measures, but many other regions are in rough shape too.
What the report's analysis shows is that Aotearoa is on a path to being a divided nation - in general terms (and let's acknowledge that any statistical analysis is always a generalisation) - we are becoming a nation that can be divided into those dwelling in cities, and those dwelling in rural areas. As it stands, those living in rural areas face more hardship than those in urban areas and will not benefit from economic growth as much as urban areas - and I don't think we needed this report to tell us that poor social outcomes follow poor economic ones.
The Mixed Fortunes report offers compelling and well-researched analysis, which challenges us all to consider the New Zealand of the future. There is no evidence the current trend for the growth of the super city at the cost of the regions will reverse without intervention. As a nation we must ask ourselves if we are prepared to accept a future which is likely to include an affluent urban population engaged in the global economy and a disenfranchised, disconnected rural population.
Pan to The Hunger Games, where the provinces exist to provide resources to the city. The further the province from the city, the less valuable the commodity it produces, and therefore the more subsistence-level the existence of its population. Migration is forbidden and the lifestyle of the city-dwellers is indulgent, opulent and obscene in contrast to the meagre existence of those in the provinces.
Leaving aside the science-fiction elements, is this vision of the economic future really that different from the one that we are currently staring down? Migration may not be forbidden, but do we want a society in which our young and able are compelled to leave their community if they want any hope of a bright future, while those born into poverty and unable to move must face a bleak future featuring poor health, educational and vocational outcomes? At the same time, do we support the concept of one super city, with all the problems, pollution and politics that come with it? Sadly the current economic model creates a zero-sum game, where the gain of Auckland necessarily comes at a cost to the provinces.