Labour list MP Kieran McAnulty has a better chance of winning the Wairarapa seat in this year's election than he did in the last election, when he lost by 2872 votes.
The electorate race is wide open after the sitting National MP Alastair Scott announced he would not run for re-election.
Scott's National Party replacement is farmer Mike Butterick, who will try to hold off McAnulty as public support surges towards Labour.
