New Zealand "shows no sign of 'catching up' towards higher productivity countries," it said.
The report made no recommendations and was intended to "set the backdrop" for the commission's work "which aims to address the causes underlying New Zealand's productivity performance".
It noted data showing that since the early 1990s, labour productivity growth had accounted for over half of New Zealand's average income growth. More improvements in labour productivity would be needed, given labour market participation had "a natural limit" and was already high by international and historical standards.
"Given an ageing population, this suggests that raising average incomes via increased labour input is becoming progressively more difficult," it said. "Improvements in the terms of trade, which have contributed about 30 per cent of average income growth over the 2000s, are unlikely to continue increasing indefinitely."
A growing gap in labour productivity had been the main driver of increasing disparity in GDP per capita between New Zealand and Australia, the report said. While growth in labour input in the past four decades had been "remarkably similar", Australia had done better, with its real GDP in 2011 4.4 times higher than in 1967, while New Zealand's improvement was only 2.8 times.
The ongoing divergence in New Zealand's labour productivity, with no sign of productivity "catch up" towards more productive countries, was unusual within the OECD group of countries, the report said. BusinessDesk