At the start of the 2012 Central League football season and Wairarapa United coach Phil Keinzley was predicting it would take 40 points to win the title.
And that's exactly what United will finish on if they complete their league programme with a win over Napier City Rovers in Napier on Sunday.
But whether it will be a good enough effort to give them their first Central League championship probably won't be known for another week or two.
For if defending champions Miramar Rangers beat bottom-placed Maycenvale United this weekend they will still be in the reckoning, needing to win the three games they have left to end up with 40 points as well. That situation would mean the title being decided on goal differential, something more likely to be to Miramar Rangers' advantage.
The dream result for Keinzley this Sunday, of course, would be for his side to win and Maycenvale United to at least share the honours with Miramar. That would guarantee Wairarapa United overall success. But he expects Miramar Rangers to have little trouble picking up maximum points: "It would be nice to think there would be an upset there, but when you look at the strength of the two teams it's very hard to imagine it happening."