The Motor Industry Association is forecasting a 9 per cent growth in new vehicle sales this year, led largely by demand for passenger cars and lightweight commercials.
"The logical explanation for this is the shortage of stock last year," said the association's CEO, Perry Kerr.
"We expect there will be also a small increase in sales of SUVs."
The projected growth will mean sales this year of about 90,000 passenger cars and commercials, up roughly 9000 on last year.
The New Zealand-new vehicle market rose 5.2 per cent last year, despite natural disasters in Japan and Thailand disrupting supply for some months.