For starters, anybody who has been a regular follower of shearing sports will know that nothing is certain in a sport which relies not only on the form of the competitor but also the willingness of the sheep to play ball. Strike a difficult customer and no matter how talented the shearer his - or her - points are sure to suffer.
Nobody would understand that better than Fagan and, while the TAB has him as a firm favourite, the one sure bet is that he will be taking nothing for granted against opposition which will include another couple of former Golden Shears open winners, Dion King and Cam Ferguson, and there's Pongaroa's David Buick, who has the form background to suggest a Wairarapa victory is certainly not out of the question.
In fact, you'd have to hope the roof of the stadium is well nailed down if Fagan and Buick are going blow for blow in the open final on Saturday night, such will be the level of vocal support these two will engender.
The 2015 championships start today with lower grade shearing and woolhandling heats plus the preliminary stages in three woolpressing competitions and the pace will be stepped up with the open shearing and woolhandling heats tomorrow.
A transtasman woolhandling test will be held tomorrow night, and the big finals will be staged, along with a shearing test between New Zealand and Australia, on Saturday evening.
A special feature this year will be a reunion of about 16 of the open shearing championship finalists from the first two decades of the Golden Shears, among them 81-year-old Southlander Ian "Snow" Harrison, the lone survivor of the first open final in 1961. Another highlight will be a wool-sculpting competition in conjunction with a Speedshear tonight.