When Australia changes horses, New Zealand needs to take stock. What do Tony Abbott and his likely ministers know of this country? Where do New Zealand and the near Pacific rank in their outlook on the world? What is their view of closer economic relations and, more urgently, the rights of New Zealanders in Australia who have taken advantage of it?
Naturally, none of those questions figured in the campaign across the Tasman, not even the last. When Abbott was asked at a press conference about the plight of New Zealand migrants denied benefits that their taxes help pay for, he ducked the question, praising the character of Kiwis and reminding us he is married to a New Zealander.
Well, that is something. The value of family ties cannot be overstated. But the chemistry between Prime Ministers will count for more. Too often it has been antagonistic. Muldoon and Fraser, Hawke and Lange were barely on speaking terms. Keating was not much better, breaking an air deregulation agreement with the Bolger Government.
Since then the relationship has greatly improved. Helen Clark and John Howard got along well, as did John Key with Julia Gillard. It is curious that leaders from the same side of the political fence have found it harder to form a good relationship across the Tasman. Key and Abbott need to break the pattern.
But it might be too much to expect they can quickly resolve the expatriate conundrum. Even Gillard, well disposed as she was to this country, held to the policy introduced by the Howard Government that denies a range of benefits to New Zealanders who have moved to Australia since 2001.