The number of people theoretically eligible for the Government's fees-free policy has dropped 26,000 from the 80,000 it touted when it launched the policy in December last year.
The first round of data on the high-profile policy showed that the estimated number of potentially eligible students at tertiary providers at April 2018 was 52,300 and those in workplace-based training was 1700, down from a combined 80,000 in an earlier estimate.
"The Ministry [of Education's] costings were based on assumptions from data from 2016, the most up-to-date information at the time, and were set deliberately at the upper limit to ensure sufficient funding was provided to tertiary institutions in January 2018," Education Minister Chris Hipkins said today.
Lower than expected enrolments in 2017 and a strong labour market resulted in $31.7 million a year being available to give as tuition subsidies to polytechnics, universities and other tertiary institutions.
"Tertiary education enrolments steadily declined from 2010 to 2016, and 2017 was worse than we expected but the data was not available in time for Budget 2018," Hipkins said in a statement.