If public utterances of SkyCity are any guide, it is becoming worried about the fate of a proposed deal under which it would invest $350 million in a convention centre in Auckland while gaining extra poker machines at its casino and an extension of its licence beyond 2021. How else to explain the extraordinary comments of its chief executive, Nigel Morrison? Among other things, he has said SkyCity's poker machines are less harmful to the public than Lotto tickets, and that claims of social harm are out of proportion to reality.
There are some similarities between poker machines and Lotto, not least in the phenomenon of the near miss, which encourages people to gamble more. But it seems untenable to claim that lotteries, which have been around for many years, cause more harm than electronic gaming machines, a relative latecomer.
As much was confirmed by a report by Australia's Productivity Commission in 2010. "People playing gaming machines face much greater risks than people who gamble on other forms, particularly lotteries, scratchies and bingo," it concluded. Indeed, "very few" of the "other forms" group - the majority of gamblers - suffered harm.
Mr Morrison was on only slightly firmer ground with some other pronouncements. Those at risk were not casino customers, he said, but "mums in South Auckland" who were shopping in communities where there were pokies at pubs and clubs. It is readily apparent that easy access to these machines is a catalyst for heavy gambling, often by the most vulnerable sections of society.
But the Productivity Commission found that people who played at community venues also usually played at casinos. More broadly, it declared that, in any event, no venue was "safe".