Back in April, when a royal commission was set up to investigate the collapse of buildings in Canterbury's earthquakes, it was asked for an interim report within six months to help rebuilding get under way. Right on deadline, the commission has delivered some tentative conclusions for the construction or strengthening of buildings not only in Christchurch but in all parts of the country.
It suggests local authorities should keep an up-to-date register of unreinforced masonry buildings, which caused 42 deaths in the February 22 quake. It wants these old, often historic, structures urgently made safer by bracing their parapets, installing roof ties and securing anything that might fall in a public place. In cities where the earthquake hazard is high, such as Wellington, Napier, Hastings and Gisborne, it suggests additional measures.
It says this work should be done as a matter of urgency. Auckland's council has given owners until 2045 to strengthen the 393 unreinforced masonry buildings on the isthmus that are listed on a preliminary register of structures likely to collapse in a moderate earthquake. The city's building policy manager sees nothing in the commission's findings to bring forward that date.
It is hard to inject much urgency into precautions for places that scarcely ever feel an earthquake thanks to their distance from the tectonic plate boundary that New Zealand straddles. Auckland and Dunedin have a hazard rating of just 0.13 as compared with Wellington's 0.4. But then, Christchurch was previously rated 0.22. Now that uncharted faults have made their presence known the rating is 0.3.
The commission notes that the national seismic hazard model assumes an earthquake up to magnitude 7.2 (Canterbury's 2010 quake was 7.1) "could occur on an unknown fault virtually anywhere in New Zealand". However, it adds that "in areas of low seismicity the likelihood of such an occurrence is very low".