The country has been keyed up for an important speech from the Prime Minister today. He needs to produce something more impressive than a merger of some departments mentioned in advance. Word has it that the ministries of Economic Development, Science and Innovation and the Labour Department, or at least its employment office, are likely to be melded into one. Ho hum.
Mr Key calls this a "structural change". It is nothing of the sort. The conversion of some departments into State Owned Enterprises in the 1980s was a structural change. The creation of Crown Research Institutes and Crown Health Enterprises in the 1990s, and the re-conversion of CHEs to District Health Boards a decade later, were "structural" as economists use the word. In each case the service was taken into or out of a market and had to change the way it worked.
The merger Mr Key seems about to announce sounds like nothing more than a reshuffling of departments. This is the sort of reform public servants propose when they can offer little else. They are forever worrying about "silos" and suggesting ways to cross-fertilise their operations. Every so often a government carves them up and reconstitutes them in different combinations but nothing really changes. Quite likely the next reorganisation will see them restored to their original form.
The ministries of Economic Development and Science and Innovation are relatively new and undeveloped. The first was a creation of Jim Anderton in the previous Government and the second has been around in different guises for longer but has never really found a use. There is not much for these ministries to do unless the Government is willing to use tax incentives and other tools to steer investment in its desired directions.
No government of the past 27 years has dared to do more than dabble with the likes of research and development incentives. The Treasury warns them of the risks of trying to predetermine economic welfare. But Mr Key came to power with the confidence of someone accustomed to trading on market signals and a desire to step up the country's economic capacity.