Rio Tinto is doubtless more than happy that the Government has stepped in to try to broker a deal over the electricity supply contract for the Tiwai Pt aluminium smelter. The global company's bargaining position has always been strong. Now, the concerns that have brought the Government to the negotiating table make it even stronger. Nonetheless, there remains no reason to bow to the mining giant's every demand.
The higher-level renegotiation of the contract for the next 27 years follows the failure of talks between Meridian Energy and Pacific Aluminium, which is 80 per cent owed by Rio Tinto. Meridian's chief executive, Mark Binns, said on Friday that after nine months of negotiations, "there remains a major gap between us on a number of issues". This, he said, led Meridian to believe it was unlikely a new agreement could be reached.
That is not what the Government wanted to hear as it prepares for the part-sale of Mighty River Power next month, to be followed by other power companies, including Meridian. Tiwai Pt consumes about 15 per cent of the electricity produced in New Zealand. If no supply agreement is reached and Rio Tinto closes the smelter, the wholesale market would be oversupplied and prices would slump. The sharp reduction in power companies' revenues would have a substantial impact on their market value.
This uncertainty has forced the Government's hand. Most of the potential Mighty River shareholders may be aware of the Tiwai Pt negotiations but assumed an agreement would be reached. If the uncertainty continues, shares in Mighty River will, inevitably, be somewhat cheaper. As much was confirmed by Contact Energy's share price dropping 3 per cent in early trading after Meridian announced the negotiation deadlock. There are other factors for the Government to consider, not least the threat to 750 jobs at the smelter and a further 3000 indirectly in the Southland region. That, ironically, is the bailiwick of Finance Minister Bill English, the driving force behind the asset-sales programme.