Minister's visit a test of Tokyo's free trade policy.
A visit by a foreign minister of Japan would not normally attract more than polite interest in this country. But Fumio Kishida, who will be here at the end of this week, represents a Government that is said to be bringing new vigour to an economy that has been in decline for the past two decades. Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's plans are of particular interest to New Zealand because they have brought Japan into the Trans Pacific Partnership negotiations.
When Japan was admitted to those talks in April, this column expressed doubts about its value to the TPP, probably the most promising trade liberalisation effort in the world at present. Initiated by New Zealand, Singapore, Brunei and Chile, the partnership now comprises 11 countries, including the United States, and the goal remains a "gold standard" trade agreement, not a cosmetic one.
Japan's trade protection has been legendary. Even in its postwar manufacturing boom, when it was a factory for the world much like China is today, Japan fiercely protected its agriculture and maintained impenetrable bureaucratic barriers in other sectors. It entered trade talks for appearances and nothing changed.
This time its Government might be serious. Mr Abe has embarked on a policy of stimulation by deliberate inflation to jolt the country out of the deflation it has been suffering for the past 20 years. Inflation is dangerous in a protected economy. Costs can spiral out of control unless competition contains prices. Joining the TPP is Mr Abe's signal that competition is coming.