Latest figures from the Ministry of Justice record another drop in the number of young people sentenced for crimes in the year to June. The total of 906 offenders in the Youth Court was a marked improvement on the 999 in 2011/12, which in turn was down on the 1152 in 2010/11. The figures have been declining for five years and the latest is the lowest for 20 years. Something is going right.
The trend is not confined to New Zealand. Other Western countries are finding it, too. The reason is hard to identify. The decline has coincided with a generally tougher attitude to sentencing in recent times but advocates for that approach, such as the Sensible Sentencing Trust in this country, are not claiming much credit.
In fact, the trust's spokeswoman, Ruth Money, does not believe the latest Youth Court figures give the full picture. "The youth-crime records are down simply because fewer people are reporting minor crime, which, sadly, is where a lot of youth crime starts", she said. There is no way of knowing whether that is so, unreported crime is a matter of conjecture.
The reasons for the drop in reported figures are also a subject of conjecture internationally. Some believe the reason probably has less to do with criminal justice than with economics and technology. They note, for example, that many of the home appliances that were once targets of burglary have become so cheap they are no longer worth stealing.
There is also the proliferation of surveillance cameras these days in places where street crime used to occur. It can be assumed a camera is on you everywhere in downtown areas of major cities now. Cameras probably deter more crime than they detect.