International dairy prices are now well below levels that will be sustainable in the medium term and all signs suggest a prolonged period of low prices will be required in order to soak up the current global market surplus, says Rabobank in its quarterly report.
The report, published this week, indicates that the orderly decline in global dairy prices that became evident in the second quarter this year set in well and truly during the third quarter.
Rabobank's Hayley Moynihan says that milk production has continued to expand strongly in global export regions.
Meanwhile, China has pulled back from buying on the international market as it concentrates on digesting stock accumulated this year.
"However, while a bottom appears to have been reached for New Zealand and Australian export prices, market rebalancing will be a slow process and price recovery looks some way off," she says.