The results of all three matches being played in the Wairarapa-Bush premier division rugby competition tomorrow could have a big bearing on which four sides make next weekend's semi-finals.
Two things are clear - Gladstone (47pts) are already guaranteed a place in the top four and Greytown-Tuhirangi (31pts) are out of the reckoning.
But for Marist (38pts), Eketahuna, (41pts, Pioneer (42pts) and Carterton (42pts) everything will depend on what happens tomorrow.
It is Marist though who have the biggest job ahead of them.
Not only do they have to beat Gladstone at Gladstone but the likelihood is they will also require a bonus point for scoring four or more tries if they are to reach the semis.
That Marist are capable of achieving both objectives can't be argued for they probably have the best attacking backline in the competition and a pack which has a fair measure of strength in all the ball-winning departments .
But their progress has been thwarted to some degree by a tendency to take their foot off the pedal just when victory has seemed assured and against a Gladstone side whose consistency has become their main attribute, that could be fatal.
Gladstone's "brains trust" of Steve Thompson and Neil Kjestrup - two grand servants of Wairarapa-Bush rugby- are sure to devise tactics aimed at nullifying the influence of Marist 's star backs Patrick Rimene, Nathan Couch and Phillip Aporo and you can be sure too that their in-form loosies Sam Henderson and Mike Spence will be very much part of that plan.
Rimene and Couch are, of course, regular Wairarapa-Bush reps and despite question marks over his fitness levels, Aporo might not be long in joining them there He has good pace for a big man and the necessary aggression to go with it.
With the speedy and elusive "import" Junior Tongia impressing enough at Jade Stadium on Tuesday to suggest he has one winger's berth for the NPC first division campaign sewn up the more bruising Aporo could provide very different qualities on the other.
Their combination could be much like that provided by Masterton duo Greg Karaitiana and Mike Cornford in years gone by?and we'd settle for that, wouldn't we?.
If there has been a "surprise packet" in this season's premier division series it has been Pioneer, although the surprise element has certainly lessened as they have continued to knock over higher profiled teams on a consistent basis.
So impressive have they been in fact, that the prospects of them claiming Eketahuna's scalp, even at the latter's headquarters, can't be discounted.
At the same time though Eketahuna would have been buoyed by their narrow but deserved win over Marist last weekend and if coach Dave Smith and skipper Steve Olds can rally the troops in similar fashion tomorrow they should be able to keep their hopes of a fourth successive premier division title alive.
Going by the form book Carterton should be too good for Greytown-Tuhirangi in their match at Carterton but no-one will know better than Carterton coach Steve Hurley that the combined side's positioning on the points table does not do full justice to their capabilities.
If they can quell the fire in the Carterton pack-which won't be easy- they just might have enough speed in their outside backs to make a close game of it.
Crunch time!
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