The MMP Review risks being perceived by the public as a sham dominated by the self-interest and conservatism of the entrenched political elite. While most submissions to the Electoral Commission will focus on issues of fairness, democracy and participation, for political parties and MPs there are pressing practical issues at stake - literally their careers are on the line. It won't come as any great shock to the public, therefore, that political parties are making their own interests the priority in the review.
Party submissions promote changes - or, more accurately, resistance to change - that match, almost exactly, the outcomes that would have served their interests at the last election. So United Future, Act and their coalition partner National, who all benefited from the one seat threshold exemption, continue to support it vigorously, while Labour and New Zealand First largely oppose it. Presumably, if the election had resulted in a different configuration of seats and percentages the party submissions would have reflected this. The public may have wished for a more long-term and principled approach to what is an important constitutional review.
The Herald's editorial today, Self-interest leads way in MMP review, explains the situation best. The newspaper warns that the recommendations of the various parties are self-serving, designed to inhibit change, and that we 'should not leave the review to parties with a stake in the status quo. MMP can be improved and needs to be'.
I made similar arguments this morning on TV3's Firstline - see: Bryce Edwards on MMP hearings - video. My main concern is that the review appears to be undermined, not only by self-interest, but also by the lightweight level of debate dominated by elites. The review should be a significant and in-depth opportunity to look at every aspect of the electoral system and consider all sorts of radical or fresh ideas that might improve the way our elections translate the popular will of the people into parliamentary representation. This is the first time in 16 years that we've had an opportunity to review MMP, and last year significant dissatisfaction was evident - not just from the 42% of the public who voted to get rid of MMP, but also from concerns about other aspects of the system such as so-called 'backdoor MPs', the high party vote threshold, dual candidacy, and the secretive production of party lists.
The decision over the level of the MMP threshold and the one seat exemption would have the most impact on Parliament, as it is a major barrier to new political movements gaining parliamentary representation. The most important feature of MMP is its proportional nature, with parties represented in Parliament according to the number of voters who support them. However, this principle is sacrificed by the existing 5% threshold, which is rather anti-democratic. The argument that eliminating the threshold would lead to instability with too many small, radical parties in Parliament is unproven and contradictory given the number of small parties that have been elected and participated in coalition government under MMP already. Our MMP governments have been remarkably stable in recent years, with small parties in government suffering generally being severely punished by voters if they are seen to cause instability.