Winston Peters is no stranger to coalition negotiations and the situation he finds himself in has not arisen by accident. It is the planned outcome of a deliberate strategy to position his New Zealand First party in an MMP environment, as likely to hold the balance of power in the event neither of the two biggest parties commands a majority of seats in Parliament.
So successful has this strategy been that he has become accustomed to being courted by suitors, and to extracting from the main rivals for his hand the best deal he can get - both for himself and his voters. He is under no illusion that his charm or good looks are the lure, it is rather the dowry - in this case, nine MPs - that he can bring to the agreed arrangement.
I suggest that this time, however, it may not be only the numbers that matter. For Jacinda Ardern, intent on building on her success in denying a majority to National by forming instead a Labour-led government, Winston may have more to offer than simply making up the necessary majority.
It is not just that a relatively inexperienced prime minister, heading a party that has been out of government for nine years, might welcome someone of Winston's experience and political savvy. Winston could in addition bring to a new government - one committed to a change of direction and an uplift in the energy needed to deal with our obvious and many problems - some policy perspectives that could be very helpful, and some potential ministers of real ability.
First, he already takes a position very close to Labour's on those issues that are the legacy of mishandling or neglect after nine years of National Government. His reinforcement of Labour's proposed remedies for those problems would certainly help to bring solutions closer. And he would help to identify others that need attention, such as the neglect of our manufacturing base.