I don't know David Cunliffe but his parliamentary colleagues and the Press Gallery do and virtually to a man and a woman can't stand him. By contrast Grant Robertson is enormously liked by everyone. That alone should decide Labour's leadership, for as John Key demonstrates, likeability is a considerable electoral bonus. But not entirely, as David Shearer showed. David's measured nature unsuited him for adversarial politics, this to his credit in many eyes. Still that's not so with Robertson, who attracts Press Gallery plaudits for vigorously holding the Government to account, which is the role of the Opposition.
The third contender, Shane Jones, like his two rivals has impressive intellectual credentials and, although likeable in a roguish way, lacks the necessary gravitas.
Is it possible to have an electorally successful leader who's disliked by all who know him, but not by the public? Australia gives a lead. Australian commentator David Marr wrote a fascinating book, Power-Trip Rudd vs Abbott, Political Animal, in May.
This revealed how truly horrible both Abbott and Rudd are, albeit for sharply different reasons. I already knew of Abbott's ghastliness but less of Rudd's background. But here's the point. Throughout his career, everyone Abbott's worked with, going back to university days, liked him enormously and remained staunchly loyal. Conversely, it took only a few months throughout his career for everyone around Rudd to detest him with a deep loathing.
Rudd's ascension to the Prime Minister's office owed much to luck. Relatively unknown, he gained Labour's leadership just as the public tired of the Howard Government after 11 years in office, a lengthy duration for Western democracies. The 2007 election arose soon after and Rudd sailed into office, lasting only 2 years until, as throughout his career, his colleagues could abide him no longer and rolled him for Julia Gillard.