"It seems that weekend compensation is good" for the sleep-needy, Akerstedt said, though he cautioned that this was a "tentative conclusion" of this new research.
Epidemiologists who spoke with the Washington Post described the result as a plausible finding, if not a statistically robust one, that deserves more investigation.
Michael Grandner, director of the Sleep and Health Research Programme at the University of Arizona's College of Medicine, who was not involved with the work, warned that sleep is not like a financial transaction. We can't deposit zzzs over the weekend and expect to cash them out later.
A superior metaphor, he said, is a diet. For the sleep-deprived, sleeping in at the weekend is like eating a salad after a series of hamburger dinners — healthier, sure, but from "one perspective the damage is done."
In September 1997, many thousands of Swedes filled out 36-page health questionnaires as part of a fundraiser for the Swedish Cancer Society. The study's authors followed 38,015 survey participants over 13 years to track their mortality rates. Between 1997 and 2010, 3,234 of these subjects died, most as a result of cancer or heart disease. That's roughly six deaths per 1000 people per year. By comparison, the world mortality rate in 2010 was nearly eight in 1000.
The researchers tried to account for the usual gremlins that influence sleep: alcohol consumption, coffee intake, naps, smoking, shift work and similar factors, and used statistical methods to control for their effect.
"The only thing that we don't have control over is latent disease," Akerstedt said, meaning diseases that went undetected in a person's life.
Diane Lauderdale, an epidemiology professor at the University of Chicago, pointed out that even by 1997 Swedish standards, this group was not representative of most people. Fewer than average were smokers, for instance (people who regularly smoke might not be as eager to participate in a cancer society event, she said).
Epidemiologist and cardiovascular doctor Franco Cappuccio, at the University of Warwick in England, also not a member of the research team, said the study "looks good" but the authors missed a trick: "a full explanation of the possibility of daytime napping."
The researchers only asked if people took daily naps, but did not quantify nap length.
"Therefore the adjustments may not be effective," Cappuccio said.
Akerstedt and his colleagues grouped the 38,000 Swedes by self-reports of sleep duration. Short sleepers slept for fewer than five hours per night. Medium sleepers slept the typical seven hours. Long sleepers, per the new study, snoozed for nine or more hours. (The "consensus recommendation," per the American Academy of Sleep Medicine and Sleep Research Society, is seven-plus hours a night for adults ages 18 to 60.)
The researchers further divided the groups by pairing their weekday and weekend habits. A short-short sleeper got less than five hours a night all week long. They had increased mortality rates. A long-long sleeper slept nine or more hours every night. They too had increased mortality rates. The short-medium sleepers, on the other hand, slept fewer than five hours on weeknights but seven or eight hours on days off. Their mortality rates were not different from the average.
Differences between weekend and weekday sleep were most pronounced at a young age. People in their late teens and 20s slept on average for seven hours a night during the week but 8.5 hours on days off. Those older than 65, the standard retirement age in Sweden, on average reported no difference in weekend sleep duration — they slept for just under seven hours every night, all seven days.
That finding was in line with previous reports, Grandner said, that suggested as we age, we sleep less but our "satisfaction with sleep increases." Why short-short sleepers as well as long-long sleepers had higher-than-average mortality rates is not fully understood.
The study was not an experiment, Akerstedt emphasised, and the data could not show that short or long sleep was responsible for higher mortality. Oversleeping was probably not a cause of harm, Akerstedt suspected, but a sign something else is wrong.
The scientific jury is still out on why too much sleep is associated with an uptick in mortality rates. "There's no obvious biological mechanism," Lauderdale said.
The study relied on people to describe their own sleep habits, which can generate a "mish-mosh," in Lauderdale's view, of "accurate and less accurate information."
Self-reporting is a "limitation but is not a fatal flaw," Grandner said. It is otherwise impractical to accumulate data at such a scale. To the authors' credit, he said, they were aware they did not have a fine brush, and accordingly painted a broad outline of sleep habits. "It's a fuzzy picture that's true," he said.
Grandner urged the overworked and underslept not to view sleep as time lost. "We live in a society that considers sleep unproductive. What's more un-American than unproductive time?" That's not a healthy approach - as our bodies are built to consume food and water, he pointed out, we are also built to sleep.