Thanks to the Mondayised public holiday, you get to watch the Oscars live from your sofa. TVNZ 2 will begin broadcasting the red carpet live from 10.30am and the ceremony from 12pm. You can also watch it via TVNZ On Demand.
How it'll all unfold
There will be no host, no audience, nor face masks for nominees attending the ceremony at Los Angeles' Union Station — this year's hub for a show usually broadcast from the Dolby Theatre.
In contrast with the largely virtual Golden Globes, Zoom boxes have been closed out — though numerous international hubs and satellite feeds will connect nominees unable to travel.
The #Oscars red carpet is ready and TV crews from around the world are gathered at LA's Union Station for what producers say will be an "intimate" celebration of movies. pic.twitter.com/hhF9h5Z6Hc
There will once again be a live audience but only 170 attendees will be permitted inside the station at any one time, and they will be rotated in and out during commercial breaks.
Show producers are hoping to return some of the traditional glamour to the Oscars, even in a pandemic year. The red carpet is back, though not the throngs; only a handful of media outlets will be allowed on site.
There will be no sweatpants allowed and actors will have to be out in their best frocks. "Formal is totally cool if you want to go there, but casual is really not," organisers said in a leaked email.
The pre-show will include pre-taped performances of the five Oscar-nominated songs.
The ceremony will look 'more like a movie'
Pulling the musical interludes (though not the in memoriam segment) from the three-hour broadcast — and drastically cutting down the time it will take winners to reach the podium — will free up a lot of time in the ceremony. And producers, led by filmmaker Steven Soderbergh, are promising a reinvented telecast.
The #Oscars producers are promising a "much more intimate affair" Sunday with Hollywood's biggest stars and an all-new location: Los Angeles' Union Station. pic.twitter.com/zNxdhJJ1qr
The Oscars will look more like a movie, Soderbergh has said. The show will be shot in 24 frames-per-second (as opposed to 30), appear more widescreen and the presenters — including Brad Pitt, Halle Berry, Reese Witherspoon, Harrison Ford, Rita Moreno and Zendaya — are considered "cast members".
The telecast's first 90 seconds, Soderbergh has claimed, will "announce our intention immediately".
But even a great show may not be enough to save the Oscars from an expected ratings slide. Award show ratings have cratered during the pandemic, and this year's nominees — many of them smaller, lower-budget dramas — won't come close to the drawing power of past Oscar heavyweights like Titanic or Black Panther.
Last year's Oscars, when Bong Joon Ho's Parasite became the first non-English language film to win best picture, was watched by 23.6 million, an all-time low.
Small screen movies make it big in pandemic time
Netflix dominated this year with 36 nominations, including the lead-nominee Mank, David Fincher's black-and-white drama about Citizen Kane co-writer Herman J Mankiewicz. The streaming service is still pursuing its first best-picture win; this year, its best shot may be Aaron Sorkin's The Trial of the Chicago 7.
But the night's top prize, best picture, is widely expected to go to Chloé Zhao's Nomadland, a contemplative character study about an itinerant woman (Frances McDormand) in the American West. Should it be victorious, it will be one of the lowest budget best-picture winners ever. Zhao's film, populated by non-professional actors, was made for less than $5 million. (Her next film, Marvel's Eternals, has a budget of at least $200m.)
Zhao is also the frontrunner for best director, a category that has two female filmmakers nominated for the first time. Also nominated is Emerald Fennell for the scathing revenge drama Promising Young Woman. Zhao would be just the second woman to win best director in the academy's 93 years (following Kathryn Bigelow for The Hurt Locker), and the first woman of colour.
History is also possible in the acting categories. If the winners from the Screen Actors Guild Awards hold — Ma Rainey's Black Bottom's Chadwick Boseman for best actor, Viola Davis for best actress; Yuh-Jung Youn (Minari) for best supporting actress; and Daniel Kaluuya (Judas and the Black Messiah) for best supporting actor — it would the first time non-white actors swept the acting categories — and a dramatic reversal from recent "OscarsSoWhite" years.
Several of those awards appear to be locks, particularly for the late Boseman, who would become the third actor to ever win a posthumous Academy Award following Peter Finch and Heath Ledger. Taylor Simone Ledward, Boseman's widow, has often accepted previous honours on his behalf.
If there's one less certain category, it's best actress. Davis, who has won previously for her performance in Fences, is up against Carey Mulligan (Promising Young Woman) and two-time winner McDormand. Prognosticators call it a three-way toss up.
Sunday's pandemic-delayed Oscars will bring to a close the longest awards season ever — one that turned the season's industrial complex of cocktail parties and screenings virtual. Eligibility was extended into February of this year, and for the first time, a theatrical run wasn't a requirement of nominees. Some films — like Sound of Metal — premiered all the way back in September 2019.
The pandemic pushed several anticipated movies out of 2020, but a few bigger budget releases could still take home awards. Pixar's Soul appears a sure-thing for best animated film, and Christopher Nolan's Tenet — which last September tried to lead a movie-going revival that fizzled when virus cases spiked and many theatres couldn't reopen — will likely win for its visual effects.
But for the first time, Hollywood's most prestigious awards will overwhelming belong to films that barely played on the big screen. The biggest ticket-seller of the best picture nominees is Promising Young Woman, with $6.3m in box office takings.
Lately, with vaccinations expanding, signs of life have begun to show in movie theatres — most of which are operating at 50 per cent capacity. Warner Bros' Godzilla vs Kong has made around $400m worldwide, which theater owners point to as proof that moviegoers are eager for studios to again release a regular diet of big movies. Right now, the date circled on cinema calendars is May 28, when both Paramount's A Quiet Place Part II and Disney's Cruella arrive in theatres — though Cruella will simultaneously stream for $30.
But it's been a punishing year for Hollywood. Around the world, movie theater marquees replaced movie titles with pleas to wear a mask. Streaming services rushed to fill the void, redrawing the balance between studios and theatres — and likely forever ending the three-month theatrical exclusivity for new releases. Just weeks before the Oscars, one of Los Angeles' most iconic theatres, the Cinerama Dome, along with ArcLight Cinemas, went out of business.
After the pandemic, Hollywood — and the Oscars — may not ever be quite the same. Or as WarnerMedia's new chief executive Jason Kilar said when announcing plans to shift the studio's movies to streaming: "We're not in Kansas anymore."