"A lot of organisations haven't budgeted for large increases," McGill said.
Nurses yesterday voted in favour of the latest pay offer from the Government, staving off further strike action and bringing nearly a year of negotiations to an end.
The new offer, involving three pay increases of 3 per cent, is expected to be worth $520 million.
And a teachers strike is looming with the union that represents primary school workers asking for a 16 per cent pay rise over two years.
The Government last year announced a historic $2 billion pay equity settlement covering 55,000 care workers in the aged residential care, home support and disability service sectors.
And just last month Health Minister David Clark signed a $173.5m pay equity settlement for mental health and addiction support workers, bringing around 5000 staff remuneration levels into line with care and support workers.
Those settlements have seen a pay bump of up to 20 per cent for those directly affected by the residential care workers agreement, Strategic Pay's not-for profit remuneration survey shows. This level of increase is unprecedented in recent years and will likely affect the expectations of co-workers in the months ahead.
McGill said that the deals would boost wages across the not-for-profit sector.
"With Government already saying 'there's no more money', NFPs could be left scrambling to find the additional funds they need or implement other strategies to mitigate the short-fall – such as reducing the number of supervisory roles, reducing hours of work, or simply having to accept greater levels of pay compression across the board."
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Max Robins, CHT Healthcare Trust chief executive, said they were currently seeing twice the number of caregivers on the highest level of the caregiver pay scale compared with last year.
"The pay equity legislation has undoubtedly had some unanticipated consequences – particularly thanks to its recognition of a far broader range of qualifications than those envisaged by employers during negotiations. We're now seeing twice the number of caregivers on the highest level of the caregiver pay scale as of June 2018, compared with 1 July last year," Robins said.
The CHT is one of the largest residential aged care providers in New Zealand.