The Government’s Budget Policy Statement had little impact on the market, despite Finance Minister Nicola Willis suggesting that the books won’t be back in surplus by 2026/27 as expected and the tax cuts may not be at the same levels that National campaigned on.
Willis indicated that the operating allowance for Budget 2024 will be less than the $3.5 billion signalled at the half-year fiscal update.
An interim update to the Treasury’s economic outlook pointed to a much smaller nominal economy over the next four years and less tax revenue of some $14b.
ANZ Research said “our attempts to net out the weak economic signal with today’s discretionary policy suggests bond issuance could be upgraded by around $10-12b over the next four years come Budget”.
Hospitality group Savor surged 7c or 36.84 per cent to 26c after telling the market it expects increased revenue of more than $60m ($52m in the 2023 financial year) and operating earnings of $8.5m-$9m for the 12 months ending March.
Savor said it will begin utilising the significant balance of historical tax losses and net profit is expected to be $1.5m-$2m. The company has organised new banking arrangements with ANZ.
NZ King Salmon Investments, up 1c or 3.85 per cent to 27c, reported a 12 per cent increase in revenue to $187.1m and a rise in net profit from $1.9m to $28.45m for the 12 months ending January.
The salmon farmer harvested 6238 metric tonnes compared with 6014 tonnes in the previous year, and mortality expenses fell from $25.9m to $12.6m. NZ King is forecasting operating earnings (ebitda) of $26m-$32m for the 2025 financial year compared with $24.5m last year.
A market leader Ebos Group declined 45c to $33.85 and has fallen more than 25 per cent over the last 12 months.
Skellerup Holdings fell 19c or 4.26 per cent to $4.27; Tourism Holdings was down 11c or 3.49 per cent to a six-month low of $3.04; Serko declined 7c or 1.82 per cent to $3.78; and Arvida Group decreased 2c or 1.83 per cent to $1.07.
In the energy sector, Manawa rose 16c or 3.57 per cent to $4.64; Genesis increased 6c or 2.5 per cent to $2.46; Meridian was up 5c to $5.90; and Mercury was down 9c to $6.71.
In the property sector, Goodman Trust was down 5.5c or 2.41 per cent to $2.23; Kiwi shed 2.5c or 2.94 per cent to 82.5c; and Argosy declined 2c or 1.72 per cent to $1.14.
NZME was down 2c or 2.25 per cent to 87c; Allied Farmers fell 5c or 6.25 per cent to 75c; and Green Cross Health was down 2c or 1.92 per cent to $1.02.
Other decliners were Enprise Group shedding 1.5c or 3.03 per cent to 48c; ikeGPS down 2c or 4.76 per cent to 40c; and Foley Wines declining 3c or 2.86 per cent to $1.02.
Restaurant Brands rose 32c or 9.7 per cent to $3.62; Freightways collected 12c to $8.57; Vulcan Steel gained 20c or 2.25 per cent to $9.10; Comvita rebounded 4c or 1.96 per cent to $2.08; and Synlait Milk added 3c or 4.17 per cent to 75c.
NZ Rural Land was up 2c or 2.22 per cent to 92c; CDL Investments gained 2c or 2.56 per cent to 80c; NZ Oil & Gas increased 3c or 7.41 per cent to 43.5c; and 2 Cheap Cars added 2c or 2.6 per cent to 79c.
Kingfish, which invests in New Zealand stocks, celebrated 20 years as a listed company by gaining 1c to $1.23. Over that period Kingfish has had a total shareholder return of 9.4 per cent a year.