Jim Farley, Ford's chief executive, at the company's production plant in Dearborn, Michigan. Photo / Sylvia Jarrus, The New York Times
Ford's chief executive is about to introduce an electric F-150 pickup truck that could determine whether the automaker can survive and thrive in an industry dominated by Tesla.
On a recent Tuesday afternoon, Ford Motor CEO Jim Farley took a spin in what could become one of the most importantvehicles in the company's 113-year history: an electric F-150 pickup truck.
Sitting at the wheel of a prototype at the company's test track in Dearborn, Michigan, Farley floored it. From a standing stop, the 1800kg truck surged forward.
"Four seconds," he shouted when it reached 96km/h. "That's unbelievable for a vehicle of this size."
Steering the truck to a series of dips and rises in the track, he said, "Let's see if we can get some air," and shouted "Yes!" as the wheels briefly left the tarmac over one incline. In a final lap, he careened around a steeply banked turn and floored it again on a straightaway until he hit 159km/h — just short of the track's 160km/h speed limit.
"I can't wait," Farley said as he stepped out, shaking his head. "I can't wait till customers get this truck."
These are tense and exciting times for the auto industry. Driven by the dizzying success of Tesla, sales of electric vehicles appear to be on an unstoppable rise. The switch from making gasoline-powered cars and trucks to electric vehicles that emit no pollution from tailpipes will have far-reaching effects on the environment, climate change, public policy and the economy.
Automakers are spending tens of billions of dollars to retool plants and are rushing to retrain workers for what may be the industry's greatest transformation since Henry Ford revolutionised manufacturing with the moving assembly line in 1913. They are also fighting to simply catch up to the juggernaut that is Tesla.
The question for Ford is whether a car guy from the Detroit area can take on Tesla CEO Elon Musk, whose company is rapidly expanding and is valued by investors at about 16 times as much as Ford.
Tesla nearly doubled the number of cars it sold around the world last year to almost 1 million. Ford sold many more vehicles — nearly 4 million — but sales fell 6 per cent as it struggled to get enough computer chips, batteries and other parts. Tesla has a brand that people associate with luxury and technical sophistication. Ford is viewed as a maker of large, utilitarian trucks and SUVs.
"The traditional auto industry is pretty far behind Tesla," said Earl Hesterberg, CEO of Group 1 Automotive, a large auto retailer, who has known Farley for two decades. "In the past, if you were behind by a few years, the big players could catch up. But today, the speed of change is so much greater."
Auto experts say the electric F-150, known as the Lightning, must be a success if Ford is to thrive in the age of electric vehicles. Introducing this truck now is equivalent to "betting the company," said executive chair William Ford Jr., who is a great-grandson of Henry Ford. "If this launch doesn't go well, we can tarnish the entire franchise."
The company has amassed about 200,000 reservations for the trucks, but it could still stumble. Production could be slowed by the global chip shortage or the surging costs of lithium, nickel and other raw materials crucial to batteries. The software that Ford has developed for the truck could be flawed, a problem that hampered sales of a new electric Volkswagen in 2020.
Ford and Farley do have some things going for them. Unlike many other electric cars, the F-150 Lightning is relatively affordable — it starts at US$40,000 ($59,000). Tesla's cheapest car is the compact Model 3 sedan, which starts at more than US$48,000 ($71,000). The Lightning has tons of storage, including a giant front trunk, which is appealing to families and businesses with large truck fleets. And it helps that Tesla will not begin making its Cybertruck until next year.
And Ford is also already in the EV game with the Mustang Mach-E, an electric SUV. It had sales of more than 27,000 in 2021, its first year on the market, and won favourable reviews.
Production of the F-150 Lightning is scheduled to start April 25. Competing models from General Motors, Stellantis and Toyota — Ford's main rivals in pickups — are at least a year away. Rivian, a newer manufacturer that Ford has invested in, has begun selling an electric truck but is struggling to increase production.
"If the Lightning launch goes well, we have an enormous opportunity," Ford said.
'Jimmy Car-Car'
In many ways, Farley checks most of the boxes when it comes to leading a large US automaker. Like GM CEO Mary Barra, whose father used to work on a Pontiac assembly line, Farley has family roots in the industry: His grandfather worked at a Ford factory. On visits to his grandfather, he would tour Ford plants and other sites important to the company's history. As a 15-year-old, he bought a Mustang while working in California one summer and drove it home to Michigan without a license. His grandfather nicknamed him "Jimmy Car-Car."
But like Musk, a native of South Africa who was a founder of PayPal and other companies, Farley has had a varied career and been involved in creating businesses. Born in Argentina when his father was working there as a banker, Farley, 59, also lived in Brazil and Canada when he was growing up. His career started not in the auto industry but at IBM. He spent a long stretch at Toyota. He helped the Japanese automaker overcome its reputation for making boring and economical cars by working on its fledgling Lexus luxury brand, now a powerhouse.
"He has what I call a restless mind," said Jim Press, a former senior executive at Toyota and Chrysler. "His mind is never idling, always contemplating. He has a boldness that helps him push beyond what others think."
In 2007, Alan Mulally, Ford's CEO at the time, hired him to help turn around Ford. He sharpened the company's marketing, often making early use of Facebook and social media, and ran its European operations.
Some at Ford bristled at his intensity.
"Worrying about hurting people's feelings isn't at the top of his agenda," Hesterberg said. "But it's probably what's necessary these days. The traditional auto industry is behind Tesla, and business as usual isn't going to cut it."
In the past few years, Farley reevaluated Ford's strategy, visited technology companies in California and came to a realisation: "They're after our customers."
In 2018, Ford's brain trust saw that the company was at great risk of falling behind Tesla, GM and Rivian in electric cars and pickup trucks. Ford decided not to build a new electric truck and its batteries from scratch as other automakers were doing, but to modify an existing F-150, buying batteries designed by a supplier. The move was risky because converting traditional vehicles to battery-powered ones can be difficult — batteries weigh more than engines and are placed under the floor rather than under the front hood.
"We didn't know how this would turn out, but we knew there would be a heavy penalty if we didn't swing for the fences," Farley said.
The Ford truck team's first estimate for how many Lightnings it might sell was a paltry 20,000 a year. The estimate was oddly low because Tesla was achieving sales growth of about 50 per cent a year and planning to build two giant factories.
Cars are about software now
In part because of his team's lowball estimate for Lightning sales, Farley, who became CEO in December 2020, said he was increasingly convinced that Ford needed to transform itself.
Many auto executives acknowledge that one of Tesla's main advantages is that it is far ahead of established automakers in developing software that operates its motors, manages it batteries, and informs and entertains drivers and passengers. Partly as a result, Tesla, born in Silicon Valley, makes cars that go farther on a full battery than cars made by almost anybody else.
Tesla can also remotely update the software in all its cars, an ability that Ford and other established carmakers have only recently begun using. Most cars made by established manufacturers must be taken to dealers for even minor upgrades or fixes.
It is not surprising, then, that Farley worries most about the potential for software bugs in the Lightning's millions of lines of code.
"As an automotive company, we've been trained to put vehicles out when they're perfect," he said. "But with software, you can change it with over-the-air updates. Our quality system isn't used to this software orientation."
Farley said it was so critical for Ford to beef up its software chops that he spent months recruiting one of the top names in auto technology, Doug Field, who has held senior positions at Tesla and Apple.
In an interview, Field, who early in his career worked at Ford, said he was drawn by the chance to build a technology team at a company with a century's expertise in engineering and manufacturing. "If we can combine those, that is going to be something to be reckoned with," he said.
In March, Ford announced it was separating into two divisions — one, Ford Blue, will continue making internal combustion models, and another, Model E, headed by Farley and Field, will develop EVs.
So far, investors have supported Farley's strategy. Before Russia's invasion of Ukraine in late February, Ford stock traded as high as US$25, up more than 300 per cent since Farley took the helm, but it has fallen back to about US$15. Still, Ford's market value now exceeds that of GM, which has long been the largest US automaker.
Yet, Wall Street still thinks that Tesla, which is worth more than US$1 trillion, will dominate the industry and that companies such as Ford, worth US$62 billion, and GM, US$58 billion, will become relative minnows.
No wonder Farley is spending most of his days on the Lightning. Over a dinner near his home in Birmingham, Michigan, north of Detroit, he pulled out his phone and scrolled through a long email he gets every evening, with updates on every facet of the launch.
"Software, manufacturing, batteries, chips, body assembly," he said, reading off the subheadings.
One night recently, Ford was in California when an email arrived late in the evening — from Farley, who was nine time zones away in Germany.
"Jim had four or five things he wanted to talk to me about," Ford said. "I get at least two updates a day from him."
Computer chips are a big concern. A shortage has been disrupting auto production around the world for more than a year, and outside the Dearborn Truck Plant, a few hundred gasoline-powered F-150 trucks are parked and waiting for a minor but crucial component — the device that controls their automatic windshield wipers is delayed for the want of chips.
Before his test drive, Farley took an hour-long tour of the Lightning assembly line, looking at how much work remains.
At a section of the production line, he was shown new robotic, self-guided skids that carry the Lightning's steel bed, or box, from one work station to the next. The skids eliminate the need for a costly and complex overhead conveyor system.
Bill Dorley, the box team leader, told Farley that his crew was practically ready to go.
"We just need parts," he said.
Just outside that section of the plant, heavy earth-moving machines were demolishing the concrete walls and floors of a building that was built in the 1930s to produce the Ford Model A. That space will allow the company to expand Lightning production.
As Farley moved along the assembly line, workers waved and shouted greetings and sought selfies with the boss.
Approaching a group of workers, Farley asked how they were doing and what they needed.
Michael Johnson, who will bolt in the Lightning's suspension system, highlighted one of the central concerns that many manufacturing workers have about EVs: jobs. Because EVs have fewer parts than conventional trucks, they can be made by fewer workers. Johnson was specifically concerned about a truck plant that Ford is building in Tennessee, a state that has been less welcoming to unions such as the one that represents workers in Dearborn.
"Is this plant going to be safe?" Johnson asked.
Farley replied that the Tennessee plant would build a different truck. He added that Ford planned to start making the motors and axles for its EVs, rather than buying them from suppliers.
"So our own plants are going to be very busy," he said.