US President Donald Trump is a man who judges his successes by anecdote - both real and embellished. But his trade war is turning the anecdotes against him, and there are growing signs of trouble, even as the war officially began Friday.
A poll conducted by The Washington Post and the Schar School of Policy and Government at George Mason University asked whether people felt Trump's "taxes known as tariffs" against China were a good thing or a bad thing, in light of news that China retaliated with its own tariffs on US goods. Fully 56 per cent of voters thought the situation was bad for US jobs.
The even bigger concern, though, was about the cost of products. About three-quarters of voters - 73 per cent - worried about the trade war's impact on them.
And that concern was even more pronounced in battleground House districts that will decide the 2018 election. In those districts, 78 per cent said the trade war with China would be bad for the price of products. And even a solid majority of Republicans nationwide - 56 per cent - shared this concern.
The numbers come about a week after we got the first major news about companies responding to tariffs, which have also been applied to Canada, Mexico and the European Union. So far, a major American nail company, Mid-Continent Nail of Missouri, laid off 60 employees and is facing its potential demise by the end of summer. Then came the more prominent case of Harley-Davidson, the motorcycle manufacturer that said it would move more of its production overseas in the face of the EU's retaliatory tariffs. Now BMW and General Motors are warning about rising automobile prices, Volvo may cancel 4,000 expected new jobs in South Carolina, and polysilicon manufacturer REC Silicon announced it would lay off 100 people - all citing the tariffs.