Alphabet investors may be concerned about history repeating itself.
Google has tried to buy its way into hardware twice before, albeit more expensively. Those efforts largely fell short and the associated expenses slimmed Google's margins. But its third try comes at a very different time -- when Google and its biggest rivals are more focused than ever on consumer devices built around new artificial-intelligence and augmented-reality services.
AR demands powerful, expensive cameras and sensors working in sync with special software to process and superimpose 3-D images on real world scenes. Having different Android manufacturers making their own phones with slightly different components makes this task more difficult for Google -- especially compared with Apple which can pick one set of AR hardware to marry to its software.
Greater control over hardware production would also give Google more power over the distribution of those new services, like its voice-based digital assistant. That would fix a major obstacle its Android software has faced compared with Apple's iPhones, and a more robust hardware division would solve a nagging problem in its internet advertising business.
"If you can control all of those, you're in firmer control of your own destiny," said Ramon Llamas, an analyst at market researcher IDC.
In 2012, the search giant paid US$12.5 billion (NZ$17b) for Motorola Mobility, a leading Android handset manufacturer. In less than three years, Google sold it off to Lenovo Group for under US$3b (NZ$4b).
In 2014, Google dropped US$3.2b (NZ$4.3b) on Nest Labs, maker of connected thermostats and -- at the time -- Google's chosen vehicle for a design-savvy device operation that could rival Apple in the home. But new products have been slow to reach the market and Nest was burdened with corporate drama that pushed out its chief executive, Tony Fadell, last year.
This time around, Google already has a phone. The production resources of HTC, which assembled the first Google Pixel device, would fit into an existing phone operation rather than build it from scratch. In 2016, Google hired Rick Osterloh, a former Motorola executive, to run its hardware division. That fall, his team introduced the Pixel, a high-end smartphone priced like the iPhone, and a speaker that competes with Amazon.com's Echo. Osterloh is preparing to launch a newer model of the Pixel phone on Oct. 4.
If you can control all of those, you're in firmer control of your own destiny.
Osterloh has often framed the Pixel as a reference point -- for consumers and other hardware makers -- for how Google sees software and hardware coming together. Owning HTC's unit could help Google push that vision forward, accelerating adoption of features around AI assistance and augmented reality, Eric Sheridan, an analyst at UBS, wrote in a research note.
A more Apple-like approach to smartphone production would also allow Google to steer Android in its preferred direction. The tech giant has struggled to get handset makers and carriers to ship Android devices with new, secure software.
The Pixel was designed, in part, to prompt other Android phone makers to follow on the latest Google bells and whistles. Still, some Android partners are moving ahead with competing software efforts -- Huawei Technologies Co. linked up with Amazon's assistant, and Samsung Electronics is building its own.
Google's Pixel is far from a top-selling phone. External estimates pegged sales at 552,000 units during its first quarter. Yet selling Pixels has auxiliary benefits for Google. Chief among them is the boost to its primary sales. With each Pixel phone it sells, Google doles out less in traffic acquisition costs, or TAC, the money it pays out to partners like Apple and carriers to install Google's search service. That cost has risen steadily, pulling down its sales totals last quarter in particular.
A bigger hardware unit would mean a clear offset to TAC expenses, Sheridan wrote. But it also comes with more spending, in maintenance and marketing. Sheridan wrote that an HTC acquisition and larger Google hardware unit could hurt the company's profit margins.