It can be easy to jump to assumptions about statistics, especially if they appear to support a particular agenda. So it was unsurprising that the Green Party should see all sorts of calamitous implications in Statistics New Zealand's latest figures for home ownership.
Taken from last year's Census, these showed that 49.8 per cent of people aged 15 and over own or partly own the home they live in, compared with 53.2 per cent in 2006. This, said the Greens, showed families were being locked out of the housing market and that the Government had failed to make owning a home affordable.
Among the statistics, there are pointers to the difficulties facing some people who are keen to get into a housing market that features high prices and a curb on low-deposit mortgage lending. In the 30 to 39 age group, 43 per cent of people now own or partly own their home, down from 54.6 per cent in 2001. Traditionally, that would be the age when many New Zealanders would expect to be in their first home. It's drawing a long bow, however, to suggest this is all down to housing affordability and symptomatic of a sudden collapse. Or, indeed, that it is necessarily a catastrophic development.
Home ownership has been declining since the early 1990s. And if affordability has become an issue over the past few years, it must take its place along with changing social trends, not least in patterns of spending. In recent years, many young people have accumulated a considerable sum in student loan debt, which takes a considerable time to repay. This has delayed their entry into the housing market.
That is not necessarily a bad thing. Rather than buying a home, they have invested in their productive potential. The downside for them is that when they finally buy a home, they will carry a substantial mortgage debt well past the age their parents had repaid theirs. Nonetheless, their decision represents a big plus for the country and its economy, as is money that people choose to save or invest in other productive ways rather than use, as was once customary, to buy a home.