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Home / Business

Dollar heads for 0.8% weekly decline against greenback after RBNZ affirms rates to stay low

By Rebecca Howard
BusinessDesk·
11 May, 2018 05:05 AM3 mins to read

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The kiwi traded at 69.60 as at 5pm in Wellington, down from 70.18 cents last Friday.

The kiwi traded at 69.60 as at 5pm in Wellington, down from 70.18 cents last Friday.

The New Zealand dollar is heading for a 0.8 per cent weekly decline against the greenback after the Reserve Bank said interest rates will remain on hold but did pare some of those losses on soft US inflation data.

The kiwi traded at 69.60 as at 5pm in Wellington from 69.12 cents late yesterday and down from 70.18 cents last Friday in New York. The trade-weighted index was at 72.72 from 72.44 late yesterday.

See live rates for the NZ-US $ below. Click for more information:

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The kiwi, which was already under pressure from a stronger greenback, fell to a five-month low when Reserve Bank governor Adrian Orr kept the official cash rate at 1.75 per cent yesterday and said the direction of the next move is equally balanced and could be up or down.

The kiwi did pare some of those losses, however, when the US consumer price index rose 0.2 per cent in April, missing estimates of a 0.3 per cent gain, easing concerns about a faster pace of interest rate increases in the US.

Martin Rudings, senior dealer foreign exchange at OMF, said the while the US dollar "still appears to be on the backfoot," the reaction may have been overdone given that other US inflation gauges are higher.

In late April, data showed the Commerce Department's price index for person-consumption expenditure - the Federal Reserves' preferred gauge - was up 2 per cent on the year in March.

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"I am still a US dollar bull... I think the risk is that we have a US dollar rally," said Rudings.

He said the euro is the most vulnerable currency as the market awaits a speech from European central bank president Mario Draghi later in the global trading day.

"That's why the market has gone quiet as there is a risk that he could say something to drive the euro down."

He said the kiwi could squeeze up against the euro ahead of that speech and if the euro takes a tumble, the kiwi could benefit against all the crosses.

The kiwi traded at 58.41 euro cents from 58.24 cents late yesterday. It traded at 51.45 British pence from 50.92 British pence, after getting an overnight lift when the Bank of England held rates unchanged and cut its growth and inflation outlook.

The New Zealand dollar traded at 92.39 Australian cents, holding near the three-month low it reached yesterday of 92.30 cents. The local currency rose to 4.4151 yuan from 4.3973 yuan and lifted to 76.19 yen from 75.83 yen.

New Zealand's two-year swap rate fell 1 basis point to 2.20 while 10-year swaps fell 2 basis points to 3.15 per cent.

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