NZX-listed Comvita said the 2018 honey season had started strongly, and that the company was confident in achieving a net profit of greater than $17.1 million for the current financial year to June 30.
Comvita, New Zealand's biggest manuka honey exporter, said weather conditions were generally favourable in December and January, ensuring a positive start to the harvest.
A poor season and trouble in the informal "grey" trade channels into China drove Comvita's net profit down to $9.8m in the 2016/7 year from $18.1m a year earlier.
"Although full visibility over the entire 2018 crop will not be available until April/May when we complete extraction of honey from the hives, the honey season has progressed to a point where we have early estimates of an average (or normal) harvest season," Comvita chief executive Scott Coulter said in a statement.
Based on an assumption of a normal 2017/18 honey production season and a solid recovery of the grey channel, "we have confidence in a full year net profit after tax of greater than $17.1m," chairman Neil Craig said.