NZ Herald
  • Home
  • Latest news
  • Herald NOW
  • Video
  • New Zealand
  • Sport
  • World
  • Business
  • Entertainment
  • Podcasts
  • Quizzes
  • Opinion
  • Lifestyle
  • Travel
  • Viva
  • Weather

Subscriptions

  • Herald Premium
  • Viva Premium
  • The Listener
  • BusinessDesk

Sections

  • Latest news
  • New Zealand
    • All New Zealand
    • Crime
    • Politics
    • Education
    • Open Justice
    • Scam Update
  • Herald NOW
  • On The Up
  • World
    • All World
    • Australia
    • Asia
    • UK
    • United States
    • Middle East
    • Europe
    • Pacific
  • Business
    • All Business
    • MarketsSharesCurrencyCommoditiesStock TakesCrypto
    • Markets with Madison
    • Media Insider
    • Business analysis
    • Personal financeKiwiSaverInterest ratesTaxInvestment
    • EconomyInflationGDPOfficial cash rateEmployment
    • Small business
    • Business reportsMood of the BoardroomProject AucklandSustainable business and financeCapital markets reportAgribusiness reportInfrastructure reportDynamic business
    • Deloitte Top 200 Awards
    • CompaniesAged CareAgribusinessAirlinesBanking and financeConstructionEnergyFreight and logisticsHealthcareManufacturingMedia and MarketingRetailTelecommunicationsTourism
  • Opinion
    • All Opinion
    • Analysis
    • Editorials
    • Business analysis
    • Premium opinion
    • Letters to the editor
  • Politics
  • Sport
    • All Sport
    • OlympicsParalympics
    • RugbySuper RugbyNPCAll BlacksBlack FernsRugby sevensSchool rugby
    • CricketBlack CapsWhite Ferns
    • Racing
    • NetballSilver Ferns
    • LeagueWarriorsNRL
    • FootballWellington PhoenixAuckland FCAll WhitesFootball FernsEnglish Premier League
    • GolfNZ Open
    • MotorsportFormula 1
    • Boxing
    • UFC
    • BasketballNBABreakersTall BlacksTall Ferns
    • Tennis
    • Cycling
    • Athletics
    • SailingAmerica's CupSailGP
    • Rowing
  • Lifestyle
    • All Lifestyle
    • Viva - Food, fashion & beauty
    • Society Insider
    • Royals
    • Sex & relationships
    • Food & drinkRecipesRecipe collectionsRestaurant reviewsRestaurant bookings
    • Health & wellbeing
    • Fashion & beauty
    • Pets & animals
    • The Selection - Shop the trendsShop fashionShop beautyShop entertainmentShop giftsShop home & living
    • Milford's Investing Place
  • Entertainment
    • All Entertainment
    • TV
    • MoviesMovie reviews
    • MusicMusic reviews
    • BooksBook reviews
    • Culture
    • ReviewsBook reviewsMovie reviewsMusic reviewsRestaurant reviews
  • Travel
    • All Travel
    • News
    • New ZealandNorthlandAucklandWellingtonCanterburyOtago / QueenstownNelson-TasmanBest NZ beaches
    • International travelAustraliaPacific IslandsEuropeUKUSAAfricaAsia
    • Rail holidays
    • Cruise holidays
    • Ski holidays
    • Luxury travel
    • Adventure travel
  • Kāhu Māori news
  • Environment
    • All Environment
    • Our Green Future
  • Talanoa Pacific news
  • Property
    • All Property
    • Property Insider
    • Interest rates tracker
    • Residential property listings
    • Commercial property listings
  • Health
  • Technology
    • All Technology
    • AI
    • Social media
  • Rural
    • All Rural
    • Dairy farming
    • Sheep & beef farming
    • Horticulture
    • Animal health
    • Rural business
    • Rural life
    • Rural technology
    • Opinion
    • Audio & podcasts
  • Weather forecasts
    • All Weather forecasts
    • Kaitaia
    • Whangārei
    • Dargaville
    • Auckland
    • Thames
    • Tauranga
    • Hamilton
    • Whakatāne
    • Rotorua
    • Tokoroa
    • Te Kuiti
    • Taumaranui
    • Taupō
    • Gisborne
    • New Plymouth
    • Napier
    • Hastings
    • Dannevirke
    • Whanganui
    • Palmerston North
    • Levin
    • Paraparaumu
    • Masterton
    • Wellington
    • Motueka
    • Nelson
    • Blenheim
    • Westport
    • Reefton
    • Kaikōura
    • Greymouth
    • Hokitika
    • Christchurch
    • Ashburton
    • Timaru
    • Wānaka
    • Oamaru
    • Queenstown
    • Dunedin
    • Gore
    • Invercargill
  • Meet the journalists
  • Promotions & competitions
  • OneRoof property listings
  • Driven car news

Puzzles & Quizzes

  • Puzzles
    • All Puzzles
    • Sudoku
    • Code Cracker
    • Crosswords
    • Cryptic crossword
    • Wordsearch
  • Quizzes
    • All Quizzes
    • Morning quiz
    • Afternoon quiz
    • Sports quiz

Regions

  • Northland
    • All Northland
    • Far North
    • Kaitaia
    • Kerikeri
    • Kaikohe
    • Bay of Islands
    • Whangarei
    • Dargaville
    • Kaipara
    • Mangawhai
  • Auckland
  • Waikato
    • All Waikato
    • Hamilton
    • Coromandel & Hauraki
    • Matamata & Piako
    • Cambridge
    • Te Awamutu
    • Tokoroa & South Waikato
    • Taupō & Tūrangi
  • Bay of Plenty
    • All Bay of Plenty
    • Katikati
    • Tauranga
    • Mount Maunganui
    • Pāpāmoa
    • Te Puke
    • Whakatāne
  • Rotorua
  • Hawke's Bay
    • All Hawke's Bay
    • Napier
    • Hastings
    • Havelock North
    • Central Hawke's Bay
    • Wairoa
  • Taranaki
    • All Taranaki
    • Stratford
    • New Plymouth
    • Hāwera
  • Manawatū - Whanganui
    • All Manawatū - Whanganui
    • Whanganui
    • Palmerston North
    • Manawatū
    • Tararua
    • Horowhenua
  • Wellington
    • All Wellington
    • Kapiti
    • Wairarapa
    • Upper Hutt
    • Lower Hutt
  • Nelson & Tasman
    • All Nelson & Tasman
    • Motueka
    • Nelson
    • Tasman
  • Marlborough
  • West Coast
  • Canterbury
    • All Canterbury
    • Kaikōura
    • Christchurch
    • Ashburton
    • Timaru
  • Otago
    • All Otago
    • Oamaru
    • Dunedin
    • Balclutha
    • Alexandra
    • Queenstown
    • Wanaka
  • Southland
    • All Southland
    • Invercargill
    • Gore
    • Stewart Island
  • Gisborne

Media

  • Video
    • All Video
    • NZ news video
    • Herald NOW
    • Business news video
    • Politics news video
    • Sport video
    • World news video
    • Lifestyle video
    • Entertainment video
    • Travel video
    • Markets with Madison
    • Kea Kids news
  • Podcasts
    • All Podcasts
    • The Front Page
    • On the Tiles
    • Ask me Anything
    • The Little Things
  • Cartoons
  • Photo galleries
  • Today's Paper - E-editions
  • Photo sales
  • Classifieds

NZME Network

  • Advertise with NZME
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • BusinessDesk
  • Newstalk ZB
  • Sunlive
  • ZM
  • The Hits
  • Coast
  • Radio Hauraki
  • The Alternative Commentary Collective
  • Gold
  • Flava
  • iHeart Radio
  • Hokonui
  • Radio Wanaka
  • iHeartCountry New Zealand
  • Restaurant Hub
  • NZME Events

SubscribeSign In
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Home / Business / Companies

Stock Takes: Tumultuous year for markets

NZ Herald
1 Dec, 2016 07:39 PM5 mins to read

Subscribe to listen

Access to Herald Premium articles require a Premium subscription. Subscribe now to listen.
Already a subscriber?  Sign in here

Listening to articles is free for open-access content—explore other articles or learn more about text-to-speech.
‌
Save

    Share this article

Donald Trump's proposals could indirectly benefit listed exporters if the US dollar strengthens. Photo / AP

Donald Trump's proposals could indirectly benefit listed exporters if the US dollar strengthens. Photo / AP

Trump and Brexit put pressure on yield shares

The New Zealand sharemarket has been buffeted by major events overseas such as the surprise election of Donald Trump as the next US president and the latest set of results and annual meetings have done little to guide the market in either direction as the year nears its end.

As it stands, the benchmark NZX-50 index is 654 points short of its record high, achieved in September, of 7571.11.

Post-Trump, US and local bond yields have been rising, putting downward pressure on the yield-sensitive stocks that make up so much of the New Zealand market.

This may continue to place near-term pressure on the stock prices of larger New Zealand companies such as Spark, Auckland Airport, Contact Energy, Z, Meridian, SkyCity, Mercury, Kiwi Property and Infratil that have benefited from capital flows chasing their relatively high, by global standards, dividend income yields. For the moment, the yield stocks have held fairly well.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Shane Solly, portfolio manager and research analyst at Harbour Asset Management, said global dividend yield funds in particular have been buyers of local yield stocks since the start of the year, but that the rise in global long term bond yields mean local stocks don't stand out to the degree that they once did.

On the flip side, the Republican win may benefit some other parts of the market.

"Potential US tax cuts and fiscal stimulus may boost US corporate earnings and may be positive for some NZ equities," Solly said. "The stronger US dollar, bringing with it a weaker kiwi dollar, will be good for local exporters."

It has been a tumultuous year for the markets, with huge swings inspired by Britain's decision to exit the European Union early in the year and then Trump's win -- both against the run of expectations. More turmoil may lie ahead before the year is out.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

This Sunday sees Italy vote on changes to its constitution that are aimed at streamlining its political process to allow a restructuring of its ailing economy.

A "no" vote is seen as being bad for the eurozone, particularly if it means that Italy's troubled banking sector is not put right.

Further out, an expected rate hike from the US Federal Reserve after its open market committee meeting on December 13 and 14 is seen as a pivotal event for world financial markets. But for the moment, "sectoral rotation"-- investors switching out of yield stocks in favour of cyclical stocks -- has been the order of the day.

"Whether this rush into cyclicals has legs will be the next interesting question ," Salt Funds managing director Matt Goodson said.

Discover more

Stock takes

Stock Takes: Gentrack in impressive bounceback

18 Aug 10:00 AM
Opinion

Stock Takes: The storm following the calm

15 Sep 05:00 PM
Companies

Insiders' trading worth watching

22 Sep 02:59 AM
Companies

Crash fears: Could your KiwiSaver be hit?

29 Sep 09:30 PM

"We have benefited so much from this desire for yield," he said. "Given the nature of our market it will be key as to how we perform relative to other markets," he said.

While the latest run of annual meetings and results has given few clues as to the market's future direction, there have been a few standouts.

High octane AGM

Shares in the alternative milk company A2 Milk have continued their high-octane run. So far this week the stock has gained 16c, or 6.6 per cent, to $2.55, having risen by 106 per cent over the last year. The renewed enthusiasm for A2 came from the company's annual meeting on November 22, when the company gave a positive operating update and outlook, driven by infant formula and fresh milk operations in Australia and China.

In the four months to October, revenue was at $155.2 million, compared to $79.3m in the same period of the 2015 financial year, which A2 said reflected continued growth in infant formula and milk products. A2's comments at the annual meeting has led to to an upgrade in forecasts and stock price valuations by the stockbroking analyst community.

Orion disappoints

In contrast shares in healthcare software provider Orion have fallen by 70c, or 39 per cent, over the last week to $1.80 after announcing a disappointing first half result and issuing a future profit guidance that was below market expectations.

Revenue was up by 9 per cent over the comparable preceding period. Management had been guiding for revenue growth of 20 per cent over the next year. Orion also used up a lot more of its available cash to support the growth than many had expected, and it is possible Orion will need to take on debt to support future growth.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Scales bears fruit

The New Zealand apple industry continues to be a success story. The sector is set to grow its largest ever export apple crop of 21.5m cartons worth a record $800m this season.

Just four years ago, the industry was producing 16m cartons. Shares in Scales have rallied after the company announced the acquisition of Longview, an established integrated apple production business. The stock last traded at $3.46, up 4.8 per cent over the last week.

Looking ahead

While signals from the local market have been mixed, Harbour Asset's Solly said further gains were possible as the end of the year approaches.

"We have seen a bit of that yield money flow out, and we might see a bit more of that, but the market has the potential to quietly grind up towards the end of the year."

Save

    Share this article

Latest from Companies

Premium
Business|personal finance

Surge in new vehicle sales: Industry insiders explain three factors behind spike

04 Jul 05:00 AM
Construction

'A substantial breach': Builder's work under scrutiny after installing leaky gazebo

04 Jul 04:00 AM
Retail

Foodstuffs to open $73m Pt Chevalier store early after Vic Park fire

04 Jul 03:55 AM

There’s more to Hawai‘i than beaches and buffets – here’s how to see it differently

sponsored
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Latest from Companies

Premium
Surge in new vehicle sales: Industry insiders explain three factors behind spike

Surge in new vehicle sales: Industry insiders explain three factors behind spike

04 Jul 05:00 AM

Tesla and BYD fight it out in a resurgent EV market.

'A substantial breach': Builder's work under scrutiny after installing leaky gazebo

'A substantial breach': Builder's work under scrutiny after installing leaky gazebo

04 Jul 04:00 AM
Foodstuffs to open $73m Pt Chevalier store early after Vic Park fire

Foodstuffs to open $73m Pt Chevalier store early after Vic Park fire

04 Jul 03:55 AM
'Toxic management': Air traffic strike causes mass flight cancellations

'Toxic management': Air traffic strike causes mass flight cancellations

04 Jul 03:41 AM
From early mornings to easy living
sponsored

From early mornings to easy living

NZ Herald
  • About NZ Herald
  • Meet the journalists
  • Newsletters
  • Classifieds
  • Help & support
  • Contact us
  • House rules
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of use
  • Competition terms & conditions
  • Our use of AI
Subscriber Services
  • NZ Herald e-editions
  • Daily puzzles & quizzes
  • Manage your digital subscription
  • Manage your print subscription
  • Subscribe to the NZ Herald newspaper
  • Subscribe to Herald Premium
  • Gift a subscription
  • Subscriber FAQs
  • Subscription terms & conditions
  • Promotions and subscriber benefits
NZME Network
  • The New Zealand Herald
  • The Northland Age
  • The Northern Advocate
  • Waikato Herald
  • Bay of Plenty Times
  • Rotorua Daily Post
  • Hawke's Bay Today
  • Whanganui Chronicle
  • Viva
  • NZ Listener
  • Newstalk ZB
  • BusinessDesk
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • iHeart Radio
  • Restaurant Hub
NZME
  • About NZME
  • NZME careers
  • Advertise with NZME
  • Digital self-service advertising
  • Book your classified ad
  • Photo sales
  • NZME Events
  • © Copyright 2025 NZME Publishing Limited
TOP