Consumer confidence in the United Arab Emirates, the second-biggest Arab economy, is the highest since 2004, according to the MasterCard Worldwide Index of Consumer Confidence.
Confidence was 95.6, compared with 73.6 six months ago, exceeding markets such as China and India. The score is calculated with zero as the most pessimistic and 100 as most optimistic.
Dubai is the second-most attractive emerging market for retailers after China, in part because of high disposable income, according to management consulting firm A.T. Kearney.
Retail accounts for 30 per cent of gross domestic product in the emirate, home to about 40 shopping malls, Standard Chartered Bank estimates.
Dubai's malls feature an indoor ski slope, an aquarium, ice rink and a "dancing" fountain, similar to the Fountains of Bellagio in Las Vegas.
Williams-Sonoma, the 55-year-old housewares chain that owns Pottery Barn and Pottery Barn Kids, opened the first stores outside North America and Puerto Rico in the emirate last year.
Bloomingdales, owned by Macy's, also opened its first store outside the US in Dubai last year, while Victoria's Secret and American Eagle Outfitters opened stores in the emirate this year.
"With limited opportunities for growth in their own markets, more retailers have taken the plunge and made inroads into the region, typically using Dubai as a springboard into the region's other markets," said research company British Monitor International in a July report.
Visitors from Gulf Arab nations and China are coming to the UAE as political unrest in other Middle Eastern countries diverts tourism.
Uprisings in the region this year have toppled governments in Egypt and Tunisia and sparked conflict in Libya, Syria and Yemen. In 2009, the UAE and China signed an agreement to facilitate travel between the two countries which has helped boost Chinese tourist number to the Gulf nation.
The possibility of a "second dip" globally could hurt sales, said Daniel Starta, managing director of A.T. Kearney in the Middle East. But "only catastrophic drops in oil price or truly fundamental stability issues that challenge both emerging and mature markets would likely have an impact on the regional retail sector", he said.
Dubai's retail industry is recovering after the global financial crisis caused sales to plunge 45 per cent in 2009, according to BMI.
Retail sales in the emirate will likely increase 7.2 per cent this year, up from last year's 3.6 per cent growth, the Dubai Chamber of Commerce and Industry estimates.
Across the UAE, BMI expects retail sales to grow to US$41 billion ($48 billion) by 2015 from US$31 billion this year.
David Macadam, head of retail for the Middle East and North Africa at consulting firm Jones Lang LaSalle, said retailers are reporting annual sales growth of 5 per cent to 8 per cent, with some as high as 12 per cent. That's returned revenue to 2006 levels, he said.
Sales at Marks & Spencer's Dubai Mall store increased 20 per cent in the first half of the year, said Ikram Farah, assistant store manager.
Dubai-based Chalhoub Group, which sells 280 luxury brands in the Middle East, increased UAE sales by 19 per cent in the first half, helped by Chinese buyers, joint chief executive Patrick Chalhoub said.
Sales at Rivoli's 35 UAE outlets rose more than 15 per cent in the first half and the company plans to open 25 shops in Dubai and Abu Dhabi this year.
- BLOOMBERG
