New Zealand shares gained slightly, treading water ahead of an earnings season where analysts are expecting weaker growth. Port of Tauranga and Meridian Energy gained while Z Energy dropped.
The S&P/NZX50 Index rose 4.76 points, or 0.07 per cent, to 7,055.51. Within the index, 26 stocks rose, 14 fell and 10 were unchanged. Turnover was $103 million.
"The volatility from offshore is going to continue," said David Price, a broker at Forsyth Barr. "We're coming up to earnings season, there was quite a strong rally through January - up 2.5 per cent - so I think we're coming into a results season that's going to have relatively anaemic revenue growth, 2 to 3 per cent, and a lot of companies with negative growth, we're forecasting 18 of the 46 to have negative growth. With the re-rating, there will be quite a number of companies with a risk to the downside from this round."
Z Energy was the worst performer, down 2.2 per cent to $7.12. Energy Minister Judith Collins yesterday indicated there could be an announcement made next week about an inquiry into rising petrol margins.
"It's had quite a bit of negative press in relation to margins, quite a tough-talking stance by Judith Collins," Price said. "Whether anything comes of it remains to be seen, it's quite hard to measure what they're talking about measuring in a consistent form in terms of the way the accounting gets done. It's probably more the focus on net after-tax earnings per litre than the headline margin number. The path of least resistance for that stock has been on the downside."