The Orion share price fell 0.2 per cent in early trading on the NZX to $4.84, having listed at $5.70 and stagged on listing to $6.27. They have traded to a low since listing of $4.35 twice this month.
The prospectus gave no prospective forward financial information beyond annualised revenue, and the company told investors that was because "recurring revenues currently represent less than one third of operating revenue and there is inherent uncertainty around the capture of customer contracts and the timing of their execution, and recognition of the associated revenues."
Recurring revenues are rising as the company moves to a subscription model for its products and away from one-time payment perpetual licences. Non-recurring revenues grew 2.2 per cent in the year to $110.3 million. However, the company is targeting more than half its income to come from recurring subscription payments within five years. The company said it had one major recurring revenue win in the US market during the year, with the signing of Cal INDEX, a large healthcare administrator.
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However, the US market was otherwise a drag on earnings, with revenues dropping 81 per cent to $95 million, reflecting the move away from perpetual licences. A 24 per cent increase in recurring revenue to $24.1 million helped offset the fall, but the US health sector was also undergoing regulatory changes, which also affected the US result. North American revenues fell from 66 per cent of total group sales to 58 per cent in the 2015 financial year.
The next largest market was Asia-Pacific, at $38 million, or 23 per cent of sales, including New Zealand and Australia, followed by Britain, Ireland and the rest of the world at $30 million, or 19 per cent of revenue.
Britain and New Zealand were "stand-out performers", delivering revenue growth of 60 per cent and 23 per cent respectively, the company said in a statement. Chief executive Ian McRae said the company was "especially delighted with the growth we have enjoyed in the United Kingdom with a good run of contracting activity with National Health Service Trusts and clinical commissioning groups."
"The changing US environment did cause a slowdown in contracting activity in the latter part of the financial year and we expect some volatility to continue as the market continues to adopt population health management solutions," said McCrae. "Transitions that are driven by new regulatory change traditionally create significant opportunities for companies like Orion Health, even if the timing of those opportunities is sometimes uncertain."
The Cal INDEX contract was significant because it was an example of the emerging model for "health insurers, or payers" in the US market, with a move away from fee-for-service models to "focusing on value-based outcomes."
Presentation slides included with today's results show the company experienced significant margin reductions in two of its three reported operating segments. Margins for implementation services, worth $71.5 million in the latest financial year, fell to 13 per cent, from $60.9 million, or 30 per cent, in the prior year. The margin on managed services, totalling $30.5 million, fell to 10 per cent from 26 per cent.
Support services margins, worth $23.2 million in revenue, rose to 84 per cent from 81 per cent. The decline in implementation services margin entirely reflected US market performance.
The company gained "a significant number of large-scale US customers" in the 2014 financial year and the "challenge of scaling implementation capability adversely impacted margin" in the year just ended, with margins expected to improve this year.
"The fact remains that the health information technology market is huge, estimated to be worth nearly US$57 billion by 2017," said McRae. "Globally we are seeing a preference shift towards population health management solutions and we believe Orion Health is the only vendor taking a scalable whole-of-platform approach to market. We have significant experience in the key market segments of big data, disease management and care coordination, all of which are expected to grow at faster rates than the rest of the health infotech sector."
The company was "well-funded for continuing growth", with $95 million in cash, cash equivalents and term deposits held at balance date.
See Orion's latest investor presentation here: