The implications of the Supreme Court decision dismissing the Maori Council's attempt to halt the sale of Mighty River Power are not necessarily straightforward. Risks remain to the company's free use of water and therefore to those buying shares in it on that basis. While clearly a win for the Crown, the decision was not simply a blank cheque enabling asset sales and instead came with a number of hooks which may yet bite.
While the court was careful to stress the need for Mighty River to be able to continue "effective operations", the court also stressed the need for action on claims to water and that this action should not be "an empty exercise". Substantive options, such as review of existing water permits, were noted.
The court has also left it open over what may happen should the Crown fail to honour the commitment it made during the hearing that the sale process would not be relied upon to argue against Maori rights in water, or if the current reforms are seen to be an empty exercise. It may be that in enabling the part sale of the company to proceed, the court has also created a leverage point for claimants further down the track.
For example, by relying heavily on the perceived protection provided by ongoing work in defining and providing for Maori interests in water, the court's finding has also raised questions for the particular context in which Mighty River Power operates. The risk is that any future resolution of Maori water rights may result in increased operating costs for the company and thereby impact on its profitability. Such risks will inevitably go into the mix when the market gets the opportunity to assess the value of the shares soon to be on offer.