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Home / Business / Companies

Britain lags behind in beating recession

Ashley Seager
Observer·
7 Dec, 2009 03:00 PM2 mins to read

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Britain is now suffering the indignity of being the last economy in the G20 to still be in recession - all the others managed to register some sort of growth in the third quarter of the year.

One of the clearest indications that the recession is over in the world's
largest economy came on Saturday, when figures showed US non-farm payroll employment fell by only 11,000 in November, far less than expected and the smallest unemployment rise since the recession began in late 2007.

The US with its sub-prime mortgages led the world into recession and there are now growing hopes that it will become part of the recovery stories, joining countries like China, India and Australia in putting the world back on an even keel. China appears to be growing robustly again and is helping suck in raw materials from other countries in the region and machine tools from countries like Germany.

Japan, the second-largest economy, has also pulled out of recession on the back of an export recovery, although revised figures next week are expected to show third-quarter growth was slower than expected. But the central bank is likely to hold interest rates at zero for a long time.

Such has been the turnaround in Australia that its central bank last week raised interest rates for the third month running, to 3.75 per cent. Australia also enjoyed a big fiscal stimulus because its government had gone into the slowdown sitting on a healthy budget surplus. And its banking system was more tightly regulated than Britain's.

Germany and France - the two biggest economies in the eurozone - started to grow again in the second quarter. Figures out on Friday, though, showed unemployment in France rose to 9.5 per cent in the third quarter of the year, still well ahead of Britain's jobless rate of 7.8 per cent. The German economy has been helped by strong export demand although domestic consumer spending has remained very slack because of high unemployment.

The jobless total unexpectedly fell by 7000 last month, although the rate remained at 8.1 per cent of the workforce.

The 16-nation eurozone as a whole exited recession in the third quarter, growing by 0.4 per cent thanks to a rebound in inventories and exports, although weak consumer spending and a drop in investment showed the recovery remains fragile.

- OBSERVER

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