EDITORIAL:
The problem with trying to second guess the financial markets is that often you never know until it's too late.
Reserve Bank governor Adrian Orr leaned on this as part of his pitch to usher in new bank capital requirements, even drawing on his early experience in the forestry industry to highlight near misses that might have resulted in worker deaths.
The fact is, very few people can predict with any certainty when the next financial calamity will occur, not to mention the severity and whether local banks can cope with a one-in-200 year event for example.
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