New Zealand's terms of trade - the amount of imports that can be funded by a fixed quantity of exports - fell in the third quarter, driven by export prices for the nation's primary sector exports continuing to fall from recent record highs, and a strong local currency.
The terms of trade index fell 0.7 per cent to 1288 in the three months ended September 30 as falling export prices outpaced declines in import prices and ended two months of quarterly growth, according to Statistics New Zealand. The index rose 2.4 per cent to a 37-year high in the June quarter. The terms of traded were still 3.3 per cent higher than in September 2010.
New Zealand's export prices fell 4 per cent over the period, compared to a 3.4 per cent decline for import prices.
A 4.8 per cent fall in export prices for dairy products led the decline, followed by a 9.1 per cent drop in forestry exports and a 4.8 per cent decline in meat products.
A strong New Zealand dollar eroded exporter profits during the period, with the currency climbing 4.2 per cent on a trade-weighted basis over the quarter and touching a post-float high against the greenback just below 90 US cents in July. The flipside of that equation is that it makes it cheaper for New Zealand firms to import goods. The kiwi has since declined as global fears over the state of world economy dim the appeal of riskier, higher-yielding assets.