Global dairy markets have plummeted but New Zealand beef prices have continued to hit record highs, while sheepmeat prices have stayed firm, Rabobank says in its latest monthly commodities report.
The rural lending specialist said low dairy prices had provided some incentive for international buyers to return to the market to rebuild inventories but it said prices - which have dropped by almost 50 per cent since February - would take months to recover.
"Global production from the main exporters remains in positive territory and is supported by above average trends in the Northern Hemisphere," Rabobank said. "Also China has yet to return to the market in a meaningful way as the market works its way through accumulated stocks."
Fonterra has forecast a farmgate milk price of $5.30 per kg of milksolids for 2014/15 but most market economists expect the co-operative to revise its forecast down to sub $5.00 levels when it updates farmers next month.
While there was cause for concern about dairy, Rabobank said beef prices were enjoying a stellar run.