"That keeps temperatures on land warmer as well."
Temperatures were expected to be above the country's average and rain was likely to be at normal or below normal.
"That's good news for the average person looking to enjoy the summer holidays.
"But for those with an agricultural focus, that will be something they will want to keep an eye on."
There were areas in Whanganui of "drier than normal soils" Niwa was looking closely at, Noll said.
"As we go through the coming weeks - it does look like patterns will favour drier conditions overall across the region."
Niwa said unusually warm seas were expected all around New Zealand and throughout the summer.
With those warmer waters, summer temperatures are expected to be higher across the country, including warm nights and high humidity.