Since Heartland Rugby started in 2006 the Butcher Boys have won 11 of 13 fixtures (average score 35-19) including winning all seven home games.
In the Steel Cup it was six-zip over Horowhenua and 7-2 against H-K with respective average scores of 34-7 and 30-19.
Those statistics should send Whanganui out as firm favourites this weekend against opponents who last won here in 2014 (34-23).
Horowhenua-Kapiti, however, has enjoyed a successful Heartland start this winter and is one of three unbeaten teams at the halfway qualifying stage.
Although three of the victories have been against Coastal opponents – 28-21 v West Coast in Greymouth and 27-12 v Buller in Westport last Saturday, plus 38-31 v East Coast at Otaki – there was a fine 25-17 win over defending Meads Cup champions North Otago in Levin.
H-K invariably fields a solid set of forwards and so far this year Manawatu loan hooker Bryn Gordon and lock Daniel Smith have each scored three times with four other members of the pack, including skipper Ryan Shelford, also scoring in the team's 14 tries.
Shelford, who played in his team's 30-14 loss to Whanganui in the 2017 Meads Cup final, is close to 100 games for the union.
The forwards also include ex-NZ Heartland prop Scott Cameron who like fellow front rower David McErlean, has 50-plus rep caps.
Wellington's Conor Strang, a Player of Origin, and Manawatu's Benedict Grant are loan loose forwards.
Halfback Jack Tatu-Robertson has kicked 48 points this season in a backline that includes Hawke's Bay first five Ash Robinson-Bartlett, a former NZ Touch MVP player, former NZ Heartland outside back Willie Paia'aua, and Wellington goal-kicking inside back James So'oialo.
Whanganui has scored 21 tries this season, seven more than H-K, and 152 points with a differential of 85 as compared with the opposition's 118 pts (47 differential).
Centre Kameli Kuruyabaki has scored five times with two each for Peceli Malanicagi. Alekesio Vakarorogo plus forwards Roman Tutauha, Jamie Hughes and Semi Vodesese.
Thirteen local and 10 H-K players have collected tries during the first four rounds of the championship.
Ethan Robinson has kicked 21 points for Whanganui and Dane Whale matched Kuruyabaki's 25 points with a try and goal kicks.
After Saturday's game Whanganui faces three tough opponents – away trips to tackle top of the table South Canterbury and second-placed Thames Valley with defending champions North Otago wedged in between, here at Cooks Gardens on October 30.
H-K has an easier road apart from hosting the Swamp Foxes on Saturday week, being home to winless Wairarapa-Bush and away to seventh positioned Poverty Bay.
Unfortunately South Canterbury and Thames Valley do not clash in the qualifying rounds.
From a local point of view the mission is quite clear – any further losses will almost certainly wreck the hopes of a seventh Meads Cup and possibly a Lochore Cup consolation.
Providing there are no more injury worries and costly on-field hiccups, Whanganui has the experience and ability to beat any side in the competition.
But that will only eventuate with a final five weeks of dedication to fitness training and match day application.
For the top players there is also the goal of possible NZ Heartland selection.
Milestone for Viki Tofa
Solid Whanganui prop Viki Tofa would love to celebrate his 50th game for the union with victory at Cooks Gardens on Saturday.
Tofa, at 1.72m the shortest front rower in the squad, has started 41 times and run on as a substitute on eight occasions during his first class career which started against South Canterbury at Timaru in 2014.
He helped Whanganui win the historic trio of Meads Cup finals in 2015-16-17 and the Lochore Cup in 2014.
Viki, who helps keep fit as a boxing trainer with his father Eddie, played in three successive Ranfurly Shield challenges – 2016 v Waikato, 2017 v Canterbury and 2018 v Taranaki.
He has a high work rate at both rep and club level, helping Marist reach the Tasman Tanning premier club semi-finals for the first time in four seasons this year.
That inspired him to consider returning to rep rugby after a two-year absence because of work as a roading contractor.
A chat with the Whanganui coaches, especially about his weight (around 150kg), saw him shed 15kg and he has impressed with his all-round play in the present Heartland campaign.
He has surprising mobility for a front row forward, is a hard-working defender with a reliable low tackle, and fits in well with the team's attacking style of rugby.
He is the fourth member of the 2021 squad to reach a match milestone in the past month, joining utility back Dane Whale in the 50-plus ranks with hooker Roman Tutauha and halfback Lindsay Horrocks passing the 75-plus brigade.
Two front row deaths
Whanganui rugby has suffered a double blow with the recent deaths of two former representative front row forwards – Murray Ahern and Kevin Willis.
Murray, son of 1972-73 WRFU chairman Doug Ahern, played six times for the union under his Marist coach Ron McPhun in 1969.
There were three victories, all on Spriggens Park, including 11-9 over a strong Auckland XV.
Murray, aged 74, assisted long-time friend Grant McKinnon with numerous club and rep rugby match radio commentaries.
Kevin (Arty) Willis, who died at the age of 65, was a solid Kaierau forward who played 21 games for the union between 1987 and 1989.
He propped the 1988 scrum with match centurion Adrian Bull (Hunterville) when Whanganui finished runners-up to Thames Valley in the NPC Div 3 championship.
His last game was against Taranaki at Spriggens Park on Queen's Birthday the following year, the year Whanganui won the national title under coach Larry Graham.
