The timing of the drought that has large chunks of the North Island in its grip could hardly be worse.
Not that there is a good time for a drought, but economically and psychologically, the damage done by the prolonged dry spell could counter much of the growth and confidence anticipated on the back of the Christchurch rebuild.
Already large areas of the North Island have been declared drought zones, and others are expected to follow. Some estimates put the anticipated cost at $1 billion, a hefty burden for our small economy to carry.
It is reasonable to expect that, unless things change pretty quickly, Wanganui and our surrounding districts will join those already officially in drought.
Each month since October has seen less than average rainfall and it has been more than a month since the last decent drop. What pasture remains is fast being consumed or wilting in the relentless sunshine. Supplementary feed is being distributed.