The Horizons report estimated the costs of building a stopbank 600m long and up to 2.1m high plus associated protections to be around $1million. While there is no guarantee of foolproof protection from larger floods or stopbank failures, this does not seem a logical enough reason not to pursue the stopbank option. Costs and risks of stopbanks bursting have not prevented stopbank flood protection going ahead on other rivers, including the Whanganui. For instance, as a result of the October floods, sandbags were used to support the stopbanks and to further minimise and reduce potential flooding of homes along Kowhai Park in Whanganui.
The damage by flooding is not just to homes. It is causing serious landslips, severe damage to roads and bridges and is affecting electricity and telephone services. Farmers have to move their stock as their paddocks temporarily turn into lakes.
The council needs to make a decision about whether it wants to assist the residents of Whangaehu to stay in the area or not. While stopbank upgrading is under way for the Whanganui River, including plans to strengthen stopbanks more permanently to provide up to 50 years protection, Whangaehu residents still have no better protection than they did after the floods of 2004 and 2006.
In 2011 GNS Science (the Institute of Geological and Nuclear Sciences) commissioned a significant research report entitled Flood Risk Management in New Zealand: Where are we and where are we going?, which analyses how prepared we are as a country to cope with floods.
One of the gaps they highlighted in the research indicated a need to develop and implement updated techniques that will determine the economic risk of river flood hazards that can be applied consistently regionally and nationally. The report highlighted that the nation's economic performance and community functioning remained at risk from flooding of major river systems. The impact of climate change on extreme rainfall duration and intensity was another issue raised in the report, as well as a need to gain a better understanding of socio-economic profiles, energy use and transport choices into the future - including how many people and what assets are at flood risk and into the future.
The report predicted the damage and disruption caused by flooding could be on par with that caused by the disastrous earthquake of 2010. These predictions should surely set off the warning bells to all our local authorities.