While Labour has tried to rule out the Green Party's 'wealth tax' policy, James Shaw has described those efforts as "not credible," so at least according to the Green Party, an asset tax is on the table this election.
The Greens have claimed that only the wealthiest six per cent of New Zealanders would be hit by the tax, but is that accurate? Any individual with nett assets exceeding $1 million would be hit by the tax. While that sounds like a lot of money, many New Zealanders will exceed that in their lifetimes. According to REINZ, the median house price in Auckland was $950,000 in August. In other words, an individual with even modest retirement savings and a mortgage-free home in Auckland should expect to be paying the wealth tax by the time they retire.
At minimum, census data suggest approximately 45 per cent of Aucklanders - that's 15 per cent of the country's population - own their own home. Once mortgage-free, most of those households would find themselves liable for the tax. Many home owners and entrepreneurs outside Auckland would be affected by the tax as well.
Official statistics indicate far more than six per cent of New Zealanders would be affected. Analysis of Stats NZ nett wealth data by Eric Crampton, of the New Zealand Initiative, suggests 20 per cent of 66- to 69-year-olds have nett wealth exceeding $1 million. Our own analysis of Household Economic Survey data indicates 21.6 per cent of households had nett wealth exceeding $1 million as of 2018.
While the Green Party's threshold is higher for couples, it would fall again for a retiree once his or her partner passes away. Many would find themselves burdened by the tax even if they had previously fallen below the threshold while their partners were alive.