Elimination on a national scale had not been achieved before, but there were examples of other diseases being eliminated, such as hydatids in New Zealand.
The national elimination of AFB was seen as possible given the relatively small number of honey bee colonies (350,000-400,000, including feral colonies), and because the importation of colonies and materials capable of carrying the disease was controlled.
It was illegal to treat beehives in New Zealand with antibiotics or drugs, but some beekeepers had shown that elimination on a national scale was possible, effectively eliminating it from their own operations by destroying infected colonies and adopting management techniques to avoid its spread to other hives.
The chances of eliminating AFB were enhanced by the current low incidence, its relatively low infectivity and the elimination of unmanaged colonies by varroa.
Mr Cox believed it was possible that some Far North hives had been abandoned, but he did not accept that that practice was widespread. Kaitaia apiarist Malcolm Haines did not accept it at all.
Mr Haines, who has been in the business for 52 years, said he had seen the disease - he had destroyed some 300 hives over a couple of years - and it was essential that every frame be checked before anything was removed from a hive.
The perception was possibly exacerbated by some beekeepers mistaking sackbrood for American foulbrood, however. The former did not represent the same potential for harm that AFB did.
"The biggest problem is diagnosis," Mr Haines added. "It can be difficult to tell the difference. We also have to be aware that while amateur beekeepers are a good thing, they don't always have the experience needed to ensure they get their facts right."
A contributor to the Northland Age Facebook suggested that if there was an outbreak of AFB it would be the result of incompetent beekeeping.
Spores did remain viable for many years but were spread via honey and honey/brood combs, not flowers and soil. The main mode of spreading was beekeepers moving infected combs and boxes between hives without first checking for disease.