The heart says Highlanders but the brain says Hurricanes ... by 11 points.
Naturally as a Hawke's Bay fan one would barrack for the Highlanders tonight in the wake of "visiting team" head coach Jamie Joseph's decision to start all five of his Magpies - hooker Ash Dixon, who will be captain, prop Brendon Edmonds, blindside flanker Gareth Evans, second five-eighth Richard Buckman and winger Ryan Tongia. But the Hurricanes are too good a side this season to lose two consecutive matches.
The return of All Black Beauden Barrett from injury will give the Canes some classy game management skills. The fact he won't be goalkicking is one of the reasons the Highlanders will keep within 11 points.
Expect the in-form Highlanders pivot Lima Sopoaga to have the best goalkicking percentage tonight. However Joseph's decision to rest his three All Blacks, fullback Ben Smith, halfback Aaron Smith and centre Malakai Fekitoa, means Sopoaga is unlikely to have too many conversion attempts.
Consistent Canes captain and All Black centre Conrad Smith will rule the midfield even without his regular partner Ma'a Nonu. Smith has never had a bad game at McLean Park.