MetService forecaster Mariken van Laanen said the rain would last for most of today and ease tonight.
There could also be strong southerly winds, especially about the coast, Ms van Laanen said.
WeatherWatch.co.nz forecaster Philip Duncan said the region would "forget about the early spring for 24 hours" during the deluge.
"That's a month's worth of rain falling in a day. It's a significant amount and we do get flooding problems with that amount of rain."
Rainfall would be heavier about the ranges and patchier in the south.
Ms van Laanen said the outlook for the rest of the week was "generally fine".
Tomorrow would be fine with a possibility of showers east of Wairoa.
Wednesday was also expected to be fine, although a brief southerly change could bring the occasional shower.
There was a predicted upward trend in temperatures this week, from today's daytime high of 13C to a pleasant 18C for Thursday.
Tonight's overnight low is a chilly 1C but lows are expected to reach 8C toward the end of the week.
Mr Duncan said spring had arrived in the region "without a doubt". His comments came after a northwesterly flow brought balmy weather to Hawke's Bay at the weekend.
"Trees are in blossom, lambs are being born, there's pollen in the air.
"Mother Nature has already declared spring is here."