Apparently there's been just 9mm of rain in Hastings in the past three weeks, while the year's rainfall in the district and through Northern Hawke's Bay is expected to be at least 20 per cent below average in most areas.
Maybe the cabbage trees' flowering is some sort of portent. Maybe we should take heed.
If my back lawn is anything to go by, there's something awry this season. My grass feels foreign, with never-before-seen weeds; there are dead or dying patches and a strange mix of dry and lush.
The New Zealand Tourism Guide's website states the following: "New Zealand has mild temperatures, moderately high rainfall and many hours of sunshine throughout most of the country."
It reminds us that two of our biggest industries, agriculture and tourism, have contrasting requests of summer's weatherman. The tourism folks will be holding out for bird-chirping highs to attract the masses, while the men and women of the land will be hoping cabbage tree folklore remains folklore.