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Opinion
Home / Gisborne Herald / Opinion

Shrinking population rebalances in long term

Opinion by
Gisborne Herald
10 Jul, 2023 05:06 PMQuick Read

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A109 Light Utility Helicopter flight with mayor Gisborne City from the air in November 2023.

A109 Light Utility Helicopter flight with mayor Gisborne City from the air in November 2023.

Re: Degrowth and regrowth.

As Richard Whitley says (July 6, “Worst case”), Japan is facing a tanking birthrate and an increasingly aged population, and this was not achieved in a stable and controlled manner.

However it is not, as he claims, a worst-case scenario, just a difficult one. It has to happen, however you try to control it. Falling birthrates will mean an aging population, with economic and social consequences, but it’s a passing phase: the old die faster than the young, and the situation rebalances in the long term.

You can’t fight that with ongoing growth in a fixed world and a diminishing ecology, but the energy of the workforce in the developed world can support the old rather more, and produce junk rather less, while we all consume less, working towards a demographic balance, and an environmental one, and much closer equality among the nations.

Gavin Maclean

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